Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Switzerland) · Switzerland

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 19:30.

Change noted on 03/09.

Lugano

2–2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–0

Young Boys

What Janus-12 said

80%

Lugano or draw

70% success over 23 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Lugano or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 04:58.

Sealed on 12/09, 18:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

48% success over 23 matches in this league
54%✗

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	9	8	1	0	+20	25
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+13	19
3	Sion	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Basel	9	4	1	4	0	13
5	St. Gallen	9	4	1	4	-3	13
6	Luzern	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-6	11
8	Servette	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-11	8
11	Vaduz	9	2	0	7	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	-8	6

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lugano or draw80%held
- Lugano took control early: opening goal in the 2nd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Lugano against 5.
Lugano to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lugano had 17 shots against 14, for 2 goals against 2.
- Lugano chased the score almost all match: Young Boys scored as early as the 28th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLugano 1st, Young Boys 2nd (Super League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Lugano (1-0)
During the match28′ equaliser, Young Boys (1-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Young Boys go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match80′ equaliser, Lugano (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Lugano or draw” goes from 69.6% to 70.8% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lugano on the left, Young Boys on the right.

First half

2'Goal · Daniel Dos Santos Correia (assist : Antonios Papadopoulos)
21'Substitution · Renato Steffen ⇄ Elias Pihlstrom
Goal · Samuel Essende (assist : Christian Fassnacht)28'
Goal · Christian Fassnacht45'
45'Substitution · David von Ballmoos ⇄ Felix Gebhard
Substitution · Isaac Schmidt ⇄ Lewin Blum45'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

49'Yellow card · Lars Lukas Mai
Yellow card · Sandro Lauper61'
62'Yellow card · Antonios Papadopoulos
Substitution · Alan Virginius ⇄ Bahereba Guirassy65'
67'Substitution · Lars Lukas Mai ⇄ Albian Ajeti
68'Substitution · Yanis Cimignani ⇄ Ezdjan Alijoski
75'Yellow card · Daniel Dos Santos Correia
80'Goal · Albian Ajeti (assist : Dereck Moncada)
Substitution · Samuel Essende ⇄ Mamadou Kaly·Sene81'
Substitution · Sandro Lauper ⇄ Moritz Jenz86'
Substitution · Armin Gigovic ⇄ Dominik Pech86'
89'Substitution · Dereck Moncada ⇄ Beckham Castro

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lugano or draw80%held
- Lugano took control early: opening goal in the 2nd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Lugano against 5.
Lugano to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lugano had 17 shots against 14, for 2 goals against 2.
- Lugano chased the score almost all match: Young Boys scored as early as the 28th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLugano 1st, Young Boys 2nd (Super League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Lugano (1-0)
During the match28′ equaliser, Young Boys (1-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Young Boys go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match80′ equaliser, Lugano (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Lugano or draw” goes from 69.6% to 70.8% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes