Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Switzerland) · Switzerland

full time

Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Luzern

2–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 2–1

Vaduz

What Janus-12 said

80%

Luzern or draw

67% success over 12 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Luzern or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 02/09, 20:00.

Sealed on 02/09, 19:30announced on 20/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

50% success over 12 matches in this league
56%✓

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	9	8	1	0	+20	25
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+13	19
3	Sion	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Basel	9	4	1	4	0	13
5	St. Gallen	9	4	1	4	-3	13
6	Luzern	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-6	11
8	Servette	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-11	8
11	Vaduz	9	2	0	7	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	-8	6

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Luzern or draw80%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Luzern against 4.
Luzern to win56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLuzern 6th, Vaduz 11th (Super League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Vaduz (0-1)
During the match59′ equaliser, Luzern (1-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Luzern go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Luzern or draw” goes from 66.7% to 69.2% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Luzern on the left, Vaduz on the right.

First half

3'Yellow card · Bung Hua Freimann
Yellow card · Denis Simani38'
38'Yellow card · Andrejs Cigaņiks

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Goal · Julian Stark (assist : Lutfi Dalipi)46'
Yellow card · Marcel Monsberger48'
49'Yellow card · Rúben Dantas Fernandes
57'Substitution · Bongeli Faveurdi Beenga ⇄ Nando Toggenburger
57'Substitution · Tyron Owusu ⇄ Sandro Wyss
59'Goal · Rúben Dantas Fernandes
Substitution · Milos Cocic ⇄ Daniel Kasper62'
66'VAR: Goal cancelled · Nando Toggenburger
72'Substitution · Mio Zimmermann ⇄ Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Substitution · Marcel Monsberger ⇄ Dejan Djokic73'
Substitution · Dominik Schwizer ⇄ Malik Sawadogo73'
82'Substitution · Rúben Dantas Fernandes ⇄ Loïc Lüthi
82'Substitution · Daniel Mikołajewski ⇄ Sascha Meyer
83'Yellow card · Bung Meng Freimann
Yellow card · Dejan Djokic88'
Substitution · Luca Mack ⇄ Mattia walker90'
90+1'Goal · Nando Toggenburger
Yellow card · Liridon Berisha90+4'
90+4'Yellow card · Nando Toggenburger

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Luzern or draw80%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Luzern against 4.
Luzern to win56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLuzern 6th, Vaduz 11th (Super League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Vaduz (0-1)
During the match59′ equaliser, Luzern (1-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Luzern go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Luzern or draw” goes from 66.7% to 69.2% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,459 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes