Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Switzerland) · Switzerland

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Young Boys

3–3full timeHT 3–2 · 2H 0–1

Basel

What Janus-12 said

77%

Young Boys or Basel

71% success over 7 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Young Boys or Basel

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 22:33.

Sealed on 29/08, 19:30announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

57% success over 7 matches in this league
51%✗

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	9	8	1	0	+20	25
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+13	19
3	Sion	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Basel	9	4	1	4	0	13
5	St. Gallen	9	4	1	4	-3	13
6	Luzern	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-6	11
8	Servette	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-11	8
11	Vaduz	9	2	0	7	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	-8	6

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Young Boys or Basel77%lost
- The two teams managed only 13 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.
Young Boys to win51%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Young Boys had 21 shots against 12, for 3 goals against 3.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableYoung Boys 2nd, Basel 4th (Super League)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Young Boys (1-0)
During the match14′ Young Boys go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match37′ Basel come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match45′ Young Boys retake the lead (3-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-2
During the match71′ Basel come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Young Boys or Basel” goes from 71.4% to 62.5% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Young Boys on the left, Basel on the right.

First half

7'Goal · Joel Almada Monteiro
14'Goal · Samuel Essende (assist : Lewin Blum)
Goal · Kazeem Olaigbe (assist : Akpe Victory)32'
Substitution · Ludwig Thorell ⇄ Xherdan Shaqiri33'
Goal · Asane Sow (assist : Abemly Meto Silu Metinho)37'
Yellow card · Akpe Victory39'
Yellow card · Abemly Meto Silu Metinho44'
Yellow card · S. Lichtsteiner44'
45'Yellow card · Christian Fassnacht
45+1'Goal · Alvyn Sanches (assist : Joel Almada Monteiro)

Half-time3 – 2

Second half

67'Substitution · stefan bukinac ⇄ Isaac Schmidt
68'Substitution · Christian Fassnacht ⇄ Alan Virginius
Goal · Akpe Victory (assist : Flavius Daniliuc)71'
Substitution · Abemly Meto Silu Metinho ⇄ Jonas harder75'
Substitution · Kazeem Olaigbe ⇄ Philip Otele75'
76'Yellow card · Joel Almada Monteiro
79'Substitution · Samuel Essende ⇄ Mamadou Kaly·Sene
79'Substitution · Joel Almada Monteiro ⇄ Edin Etoski
79'Substitution · Edimilson Fernandes ⇄ Dominik Pech
Substitution · Žan Celar ⇄ giacomo koloto87'
89'Yellow card · Lewin Blum

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Young Boys or Basel77%lost
- The two teams managed only 13 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.
Young Boys to win51%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Young Boys had 21 shots against 12, for 3 goals against 3.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableYoung Boys 2nd, Basel 4th (Super League)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Young Boys (1-0)
During the match14′ Young Boys go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match37′ Basel come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match45′ Young Boys retake the lead (3-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-2
During the match71′ Basel come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Young Boys or Basel” goes from 71.4% to 62.5% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes