Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 17/09.

Radnik Surdulica

4–4full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 1–3

FK Partizan

What Janus-12 said

87%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 33 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 13 %

A prediction at 87 % fails 13 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 18:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 34 matches in this league
75%✗
73% success over 33 matches in this league
72%✗
64% success over 22 matches in this league
51%✗
46% success over 26 matches in this league
70%✗

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

0/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals87%lost
- The two teams had 15 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 8 in total.
Radnik Surdulica or FK Partizan75%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 35th minute, on the FK Partizan side.
- The two teams managed only 15 shots on target in total, for 8 goals.
Under 3.5 goals72%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Draw or FK Partizan ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 18′ FK Partizan, 27′ Radnik Surdulica, 37′ Radnik Surdulica, 45′ Radnik Surdulica.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnik Surdulica 7th, FK Partizan 11th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, FK Partizan (0-1)
During the match27′ equaliser, Radnik Surdulica (1-1)
During the match35′ sending-off, FK Partizan (Milan Vukotic)
During the match37′ turnaround, Radnik Surdulica go ahead (2-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Radnik Surdulica go ahead (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match58′ FK Partizan come back from 2 goals down (3-3)
During the match64′ turnaround, Radnik Surdulica go ahead (4-3)
During the match73′ FK Partizan come back from 2 goals down (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 85.3% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Radnik Surdulica on the left, FK Partizan on the right.

First half

5'Yellow card · Vukasin Bogdanovic
Goal · Erik Kojzek18'
27'Goal · Emmanuel Quarshie (assist : Martin Novakovic)
Yellow card · Samson Nwulu28'
Yellow card · Milan Vukotic35'
Red card · Milan Vukotic35'
37'Goal · Vukasin Bogdanovic (assist : Djordje Jovanovic)
Yellow card · Igor Miladinovic42'
Substitution · Nemanja Trifunovic ⇄ Nikola Cumic45'
Substitution · Igor Miladinovic ⇄ aleks zekovic45'
45+2'Goal · Uros Lazic (assist : Djordje Jovanovic)

Half-time3 – 1

Second half

Own goal · Lazar Radojičić54'
Goal · Nikola Simić (assist : Demba Seck)58'
62'Substitution · Djordje Jovanovic ⇄ Milos Spasic
64'Goal · Vukasin Bogdanovic (assist : Milos Spasic)
67'Substitution · Aleksandar Pejović ⇄ Luka Žorić
68'Yellow card · David Stojanovic
Substitution · Erik Kojzek ⇄ Jeferson Marinho dos Santos69'
Substitution · Iddrisu Baba ⇄ Milan aleksic69'
72'Yellow card · Martin Novakovic
Goal · Sidney Lima73'
Yellow card · Stefan Mitrovic73'
85'Yellow card · Sadick Abubakar
Substitution · Demba Seck ⇄ Zubairu Ibrahim88'
Yellow card · aleks zekovic90+2'

What we announced

0/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals87%lost
- The two teams had 15 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 8 in total.
Radnik Surdulica or FK Partizan75%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 35th minute, on the FK Partizan side.
- The two teams managed only 15 shots on target in total, for 8 goals.
Under 3.5 goals72%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Draw or FK Partizan ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 18′ FK Partizan, 27′ Radnik Surdulica, 37′ Radnik Surdulica, 45′ Radnik Surdulica.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnik Surdulica 7th, FK Partizan 11th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, FK Partizan (0-1)
During the match27′ equaliser, Radnik Surdulica (1-1)
During the match35′ sending-off, FK Partizan (Milan Vukotic)
During the match37′ turnaround, Radnik Surdulica go ahead (2-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Radnik Surdulica go ahead (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match58′ FK Partizan come back from 2 goals down (3-3)
During the match64′ turnaround, Radnik Surdulica go ahead (4-3)
During the match73′ FK Partizan come back from 2 goals down (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 85.3% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes