Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 17/09.

OFK Beograd

3–5full timeHT 2–2 · 2H 1–3

Radnicki 1923

What Janus-12 said

88%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 33 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 12 %

A prediction at 88 % fails 12 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 18:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 34 matches in this league
72%✓
73% success over 33 matches in this league
75%✗
64% success over 22 matches in this league
54%✗
46% success over 26 matches in this league
69%✓

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 8 in total.
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
OFK Beograd or Radnicki 192372%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
Draw or Radnicki 1923 ahead at half-time69%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 6′ OFK Beograd, 10′ Radnicki 1923, 21′ OFK Beograd, 34′ Radnicki 1923.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOFK Beograd 10th, Radnicki 1923 3rd (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, OFK Beograd (1-0)
During the match10′ equaliser, Radnicki 1923 (1-1)
During the match21′ OFK Beograd retake the lead (2-1)
During the match34′ equaliser, Radnicki 1923 (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match46′ turnaround, Radnicki 1923 go ahead (2-3)
During the match66′ equaliser, OFK Beograd (3-3)
During the match75′ turnaround, Radnicki 1923 go ahead (3-4)
During the match84′ turnaround, Radnicki 1923 go ahead (3-5)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 85.3% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

OFK Beograd on the left, Radnicki 1923 on the right.

First half

6'Goal · Dognimani Yacouba Silue (assist : Tjay De Barr)
Goal · Mohamed Cisse (assist : Ilija·Babic)10'
21'Goal · Dognimani Yacouba Silue (assist : Tayrell·Wouter)
27'Yellow card · Edmund Addo
Goal · Uros·Sremcevic34'
Yellow card · Ilija·Babic38'
Yellow card · hassan hilo43'
45'Substitution · Tayrell·Wouter ⇄ J. Šljivić

Half-time2 – 2

Second half

Goal · Uros·Sremcevic (assist : Nemanja Glavčić)46'
Yellow card · Miloš Ristić65'
Substitution · Issa·Bah ⇄ Jovan Živković65'
Substitution · Miloš Ristić ⇄ Jovan Ilic66'
66'Goal · andrej pavlovic (assist : J. Šljivić)
68'Yellow card · andrej pavlovic
Substitution · Bojica Nikčević ⇄ Mićo Kuzmanović72'
Goal · David Buchta (assist : Ilija·Babic)75'
Substitution · David Buchta ⇄ Semir Alic80'
Substitution · Uros·Sremcevic ⇄ Aleksa Marusic80'
81'Substitution · Tjay De Barr ⇄ Đ. Ranković
81'Substitution · Edmund Addo ⇄ Ethan Hoard
Goal · Semir Alic (assist : Jovan Živković)84'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 8 in total.
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
OFK Beograd or Radnicki 192372%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
Draw or Radnicki 1923 ahead at half-time69%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 6′ OFK Beograd, 10′ Radnicki 1923, 21′ OFK Beograd, 34′ Radnicki 1923.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOFK Beograd 10th, Radnicki 1923 3rd (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, OFK Beograd (1-0)
During the match10′ equaliser, Radnicki 1923 (1-1)
During the match21′ OFK Beograd retake the lead (2-1)
During the match34′ equaliser, Radnicki 1923 (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match46′ turnaround, Radnicki 1923 go ahead (2-3)
During the match66′ equaliser, OFK Beograd (3-3)
During the match75′ turnaround, Radnicki 1923 go ahead (3-4)
During the match84′ turnaround, Radnicki 1923 go ahead (3-5)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 85.3% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes