Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 16:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 17/09.

Novi Pazar

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Zemun

What Janus-12 said

91%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 33 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
BetPawa
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 16:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 34 matches in this league
89%✓
73% success over 33 matches in this league
78%✗
65% success over 34 matches in this league
72%✗
64% success over 22 matches in this league
53%✗
43% success over 7 matches in this league
53%✓

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%held
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Novi Pazar or draw89%held
- Novi Pazar took control early: opening goal in the 15th minute.
- Novi Pazar were never behind.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 15th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Novi Pazar to win72%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Zemun scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Novi Pazar had 19 shots against 7, for 2 goals against 2.
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
Novi Pazar ahead at half-time53%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 15′ Novi Pazar.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNovi Pazar 8th, Zemun 14th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Novi Pazar (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Zemun (1-1)
During the match63′ Novi Pazar retake the lead (2-1)
During the match89′ sending-off, Novi Pazar (Tomislav Dadic)
During the match90′ equaliser, Zemun (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 88.2% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Novi Pazar on the left, Zemun on the right.

First half

15'Goal · Adem Ljajić (assist : Tomislav Dadic)
Substitution · Ognjen Ilic ⇄ Đorđe Petrović27'
Substitution · zarko bogdanovic ⇄ Milan Jokić45'
Substitution · Dimitrije Tabaković ⇄ nemanja kalat45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · Vasilije Bakić (assist : nemanja belakovic)48'
Yellow card · Aleksandar kadijevic54'
61'Substitution · Fejsal Mulic ⇄ Haris Kadric
63'Goal · Aleksandar Miljković (assist : Tomislav Dadic)
64'Yellow card · Tomislav Dadic
Substitution · Marko Saric ⇄ novak petrusic69'
70'Yellow card · Aleksandar Miljković
74'Substitution · Dominic Sadi ⇄ Johnson Agwom Dauda
74'Substitution · Adem Ljajić ⇄ Skima Togbe
Substitution · Mykhailo Meskhi ⇄ Godswill Vadze80'
Yellow card · Milan Jokić82'
86'Substitution · Ivan Davidovic ⇄ Nikola Stanković
89'Red card · Tomislav Dadic
Goal · Đorđe Petrović (assist : Godswill Vadze)90+3'
Yellow card · Đorđe Petrović90+4'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%held
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Novi Pazar or draw89%held
- Novi Pazar took control early: opening goal in the 15th minute.
- Novi Pazar were never behind.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 15th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Novi Pazar to win72%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Zemun scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Novi Pazar had 19 shots against 7, for 2 goals against 2.
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
Novi Pazar ahead at half-time53%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 15′ Novi Pazar.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNovi Pazar 8th, Zemun 14th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Novi Pazar (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Zemun (1-1)
During the match63′ Novi Pazar retake the lead (2-1)
During the match89′ sending-off, Novi Pazar (Tomislav Dadic)
During the match90′ equaliser, Zemun (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.9% to 88.2% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes