Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 14 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 12/09.

Zemun

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Radnik Surdulica

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 32 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 14/09, 18:00announced on 29/08/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 33 matches in this league
77%✓
72% success over 32 matches in this league
82%✓
67% success over 33 matches in this league
54%✗
62% success over 21 matches in this league
60%✓
48% success over 25 matches in this league
80%✗

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or Radnik Surdulica77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Radnik Surdulica against 2.
Under 3.5 goals82%held
Radnik Surdulica to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Radnik Surdulica had 24 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 1.
- Radnik Surdulica chased the score almost all match: Zemun scored as early as the 29th minute.
Under 2.5 goals60%held
Draw or Radnik Surdulica ahead at half-time80%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 29′ Zemun.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableZemun 14th, Radnik Surdulica 7th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Zemun (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ equaliser, Radnik Surdulica (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.5% to 87.9% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,517 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Zemun on the left, Radnik Surdulica on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Vukasin Bogdanovic12'
17'Yellow card · Đorđe Petrović
29'Own goal · Uros Lazic
40'Substitution · Mladen Živković ⇄ Marko Knezevic
Substitution · Luka Jovanović ⇄ Emmanuel Quarshie45'
45'Substitution · nemanja belakovic ⇄ Godswill Vadze

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

58'Substitution · Marko Saric ⇄ novak petrusic
64'Substitution · Dimitrije Tabaković ⇄ nemanja kalat
64'Substitution · Đorđe Petrović ⇄ Uros Ljubomirac
Substitution · Aleksandar Pejović ⇄ Ayouba Kosiah65'
Goal · Martin Novakovic67'
74'Yellow card · sasa knezevic
Substitution · Vukasin Bogdanovic ⇄ Luka Žorić79'
Substitution · Djordje Jovanovic ⇄ Ryonosuke Ohori79'
80'Yellow card · Aleksandar kadijevic
Yellow card · Uros Lazic81'
Yellow card · Luka Žorić82'
VAR: Penalty cancelled · Ayouba Kosiah87'
Yellow card · Ayouba Kosiah87'

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or Radnik Surdulica77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Radnik Surdulica against 2.
Under 3.5 goals82%held
Radnik Surdulica to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Radnik Surdulica had 24 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 1.
- Radnik Surdulica chased the score almost all match: Zemun scored as early as the 29th minute.
Under 2.5 goals60%held
Draw or Radnik Surdulica ahead at half-time80%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 29′ Zemun.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableZemun 14th, Radnik Surdulica 7th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Zemun (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ equaliser, Radnik Surdulica (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.5% to 87.9% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,517 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes