Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 11/09.

Radnicki NIS

3–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–1

OFK Beograd

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 29 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 04:47.

Sealed on 13/09, 15:00announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 30 matches in this league
73%✓
76% success over 29 matches in this league
81%✗
65% success over 20 matches in this league
61%✗
45% success over 22 matches in this league
70%✗

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Radnicki NIS or OFK Beograd73%held
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals61%lost
Draw or OFK Beograd ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Radnicki NIS.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnicki NIS 12th, OFK Beograd 10th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Radnicki NIS (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ equaliser, OFK Beograd (1-1)
During the match61′ Radnicki NIS retake the lead (2-1)
During the match80′ Radnicki NIS go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: A. Shestyuk (Radnicki NIS)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.7% to 90% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Radnicki NIS on the left, OFK Beograd on the right.

First half

7'Goal · Ibrahim·Mustapha (assist : Damjan Krajisnik)
Yellow card · Uroš Stojanović32'
41'Yellow card · Luka Izderic
Substitution · mamadou fall ⇄ Leon Ivanović45'
Substitution · Ethan Hoard ⇄ Dognimani Yacouba Silue45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

VAR: Penalty confirmed · Tjay De Barr50'
Penalty goal · Sergio Peña52'
61'Goal · Luka Izderic
66'Yellow card · Stefan Veličković
Substitution · Tayrell·Wouter ⇄ J. Šljivić67'
67'Substitution · Luka Izderic ⇄ Luka Borovic
73'Yellow card · Radomir Milosavljević
73'Yellow card · Luka Borovic
75'Substitution · Vukasin jovanovic ⇄ stefan nikolic
75'Substitution · Milos Spasic ⇄ A. Shestyuk
75'Substitution · Ibrahim·Mustapha ⇄ Igor Ivanović
Substitution · hameed aderoju ⇄ Đ. Ranković77'
80'Goal · A. Shestyuk (assist : stefan nikolic)
Substitution · Tjay De Barr ⇄ A. Vasilić82'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Radnicki NIS or OFK Beograd73%held
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals61%lost
Draw or OFK Beograd ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Radnicki NIS.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnicki NIS 12th, OFK Beograd 10th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Radnicki NIS (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ equaliser, OFK Beograd (1-1)
During the match61′ Radnicki NIS retake the lead (2-1)
During the match80′ Radnicki NIS go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: A. Shestyuk (Radnicki NIS)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.7% to 90% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes