Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 12 September at 19:30. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

Radnicki 1923

5–0full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 2–0

Mladost Lucani

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

93% success over 27 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 8 %

A prediction at 92 % fails 8 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 12/09, 19:30announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 28 matches in this league
74%✓
78% success over 27 matches in this league
80%✗
67% success over 18 matches in this league
63%✗
45% success over 20 matches in this league
70%✗

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Radnicki 1923 or draw74%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Radnicki 1923 against 1.
- Radnicki 1923 took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
Draw or Mladost Lucani ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 6′ Radnicki 1923, 10′ Radnicki 1923, 45′ Radnicki 1923.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnicki 1923 3rd, Mladost Lucani 4th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Radnicki 1923 (1-0)
During the match10′ Radnicki 1923 go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match84′ last goal, Radnicki 1923

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 92.6% to 89.3% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Radnicki 1923 on the left, Mladost Lucani on the right.

First half

6'Goal · Issa·Bah
10'Goal · Mohamed Cisse (assist : Slobodan Simović)
15'Yellow card · hassan hilo
20'Substitution · Slobodan Simović ⇄ Marjanovic nikola
Yellow card · mihailo todosijevic25'
Substitution · Filip Zunic ⇄ Vukasin Markovic45'
Substitution · Aleksandar Varjacic ⇄ Petar Bojić45'
45+2'Goal · Nemanja Glavčić (assist : David Buchta)

Half-time3 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Vukasin Markovic48'
Substitution · Jovan ciric ⇄ John Mary55'
Yellow card · Petar Bojić62'
Yellow card · Nikola Ćirković64'
65'Goal · David Buchta (assist : Mohamed Cisse)
67'Substitution · Mohamed Cisse ⇄ Asmir Suljić
67'Substitution · Issa·Bah ⇄ Jovan Živković
Substitution · Veljko Kijevcanin ⇄ Taras Bondarenko69'
74'Substitution · Ilija·Babic ⇄ Mohamed Mezghrani
74'Substitution · David Buchta ⇄ Aleksa Marusic
79'Yellow card · Mohamed Mezghrani
Substitution · Vasil Tašovski ⇄ David Djokic83'
84'Goal · Jovan Živković (assist : Mohamed Mezghrani)

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Radnicki 1923 or draw74%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Radnicki 1923 against 1.
- Radnicki 1923 took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
Draw or Mladost Lucani ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 6′ Radnicki 1923, 10′ Radnicki 1923, 45′ Radnicki 1923.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnicki 1923 3rd, Mladost Lucani 4th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Radnicki 1923 (1-0)
During the match10′ Radnicki 1923 go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match84′ last goal, Radnicki 1923

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 92.6% to 89.3% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes