Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 11/09.

IMT Novi Beograd

0–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–0

FK Crvena Zvezda

What Janus-12 said

82%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 30 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 13/09, 18:00announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

84% success over 31 matches in this league
89%✓
73% success over 30 matches in this league
68%✓
65% success over 31 matches in this league
70%✓
43% success over 23 matches in this league
84%✓
33% success over 9 matches in this league
58%✗

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals82%held
- The two teams managed only 5 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda89%held
- FK Crvena Zvezda took the lead in the 31st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 3 shots on target for FK Crvena Zvezda against 2.
Under 3.5 goals68%held
FK Crvena Zvezda to win70%held
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 31′ FK Crvena Zvezda.
Over 2.5 goals58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIMT Novi Beograd 5th, FK Crvena Zvezda 1st (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, FK Crvena Zvezda (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90% to 90.3% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

IMT Novi Beograd on the left, FK Crvena Zvezda on the right.

First half

Goal · Vasilije Kostov (assist : Osman Bukari)31'
44'Yellow card · Iván Martos

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Substitution · Muhammed Cham Saracevic ⇄ Tomas·Handel56'
Substitution · Vasilije Kostov ⇄ Kristiyan Balov65'
Substitution · Mirko Ivanić ⇄ Mahmudu Bajo65'
Substitution · Bamba Dieng ⇄ Marko Arnautović78'
Substitution · Osman Bukari ⇄ Vladimir Lucic78'
82'Substitution · Djordje Radivojevic ⇄ Naum Perovic
86'Substitution · Julián Delmás ⇄ Vladimir Radocaj
88'Yellow card · Vladimir Radocaj
90+2'Substitution · Stefan Šapić ⇄ Andrej Milanović
90+2'Substitution · Aleksa Mitić ⇄ Lazar Cvijetic

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals82%held
- The two teams managed only 5 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda89%held
- FK Crvena Zvezda took the lead in the 31st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 3 shots on target for FK Crvena Zvezda against 2.
Under 3.5 goals68%held
FK Crvena Zvezda to win70%held
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 31′ FK Crvena Zvezda.
Over 2.5 goals58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIMT Novi Beograd 5th, FK Crvena Zvezda 1st (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, FK Crvena Zvezda (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90% to 90.3% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes