Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Radnik Surdulica

3–1full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 0–1

Cukaricki

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 20 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 17:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 21 matches in this league
73%✓
75% success over 20 matches in this league
80%✗
64% success over 14 matches in this league
60%✗
50% success over 16 matches in this league
67%✗

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Radnik Surdulica or Cukaricki73%held
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals60%lost
Draw or Cukaricki ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 8′ Radnik Surdulica, 23′ Radnik Surdulica, 35′ Radnik Surdulica.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnik Surdulica 7th, Cukaricki 9th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Radnik Surdulica (1-0)
During the match23′ Radnik Surdulica go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match90′ sending-off, Radnik Surdulica (Ayouba Kosiah)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90% to 90.5% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Radnik Surdulica on the left, Cukaricki on the right.

First half

8'Goal · Martin Novakovic (assist : Djordje Jovanovic)
23'Penalty goal · Vukasin Bogdanovic
Yellow card · Zlatan Šehović31'
Yellow card · Uros·Miladinovic33'
35'Goal · Vukasin Bogdanovic (assist : Martin Novakovic)
Substitution · Uroš Nikolić ⇄ karel mustmaa45'
Substitution · Strahinja Anđelić ⇄ L Đorđević45'
Substitution · Andrej bajovic ⇄ Marko Docić45'

Half-time3 – 0

Second half

Goal · Marko Docić51'
Substitution · Đorđe Jovanović ⇄ Aboubacar Cisse63'
63'Substitution · Aleksandar Pejović ⇄ Darko Stojanović
70'Substitution · Vukasin Bogdanovic ⇄ Ayouba Kosiah
77'Substitution · Stefan Ranđelović ⇄ Lazar Radojičić
77'Yellow card · Darko Stojanović
79'Yellow card · David Stojanovic
90+1'Yellow card · Tijan Sohna
VAR: Penalty confirmed · karel mustmaa90+9'
90+10'Red card · Ayouba Kosiah
Substitution · karel mustmaa ⇄ Aires Tino Nanque90+10'
Missed penalty · Marko Docić90+12'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Radnik Surdulica or Cukaricki73%held
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals60%lost
Draw or Cukaricki ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 8′ Radnik Surdulica, 23′ Radnik Surdulica, 35′ Radnik Surdulica.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRadnik Surdulica 7th, Cukaricki 9th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Radnik Surdulica (1-0)
During the match23′ Radnik Surdulica go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match90′ sending-off, Radnik Surdulica (Ayouba Kosiah)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90% to 90.5% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes