Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 6 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

FK Crvena Zvezda

2-1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–0

FK Partizan

What Janus-12 said

82%

Under 4.5 goals

91% success over 23 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 06/09, 18:00announced on 22/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 24 matches in this league
92%✓
74% success over 23 matches in this league
59%✓
63% success over 24 matches in this league
77%✓
50% success over 4 matches in this league
58%✓
17% success over 6 matches in this league
62%✓

Super Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals82%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw92%held
- FK Crvena Zvezda took control early: opening goal in the 17th minute.
Under 3.5 goals59%held
FK Crvena Zvezda to win77%held
FK Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 1′ FK Partizan, 17′ FK Crvena Zvezda, 28′ FK Crvena Zvezda.
Over 2.5 goals62%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 1st minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFK Crvena Zvezda 1st, FK Partizan 11th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, FK Partizan (0-1)
During the match17′ equaliser, FK Crvena Zvezda (1-1)
During the match28′ turnaround, FK Crvena Zvezda go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 91.3% to 91.7% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FK Crvena Zvezda on the left, FK Partizan on the right.

First half

Goal · Jeferson Marinho dos Santos1'
17'Goal · Bamba Dieng (assist : Mirko Ivanić)
26'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Matej Gashtarov
28'Penalty goal · Mirko Ivanić
Yellow card · Demba Seck44'
Substitution · Vukasin djurdjevic ⇄ Samson Nwulu45'
Substitution · Iddrisu Baba ⇄ Milan aleksic45'
45+2'Yellow card · Derrick Luckassen
Yellow card · Stefan Milic45+3'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

52'Yellow card · Rade Krunić
57'Substitution · Rade Krunić ⇄ Mahmudu Bajo
58'Yellow card · Timi Elsnik
Substitution · Stefan Milic ⇄ Sidney Lima61'
Substitution · Nikola Cumic ⇄ Zubairu Ibrahim61'
68'Substitution · Mirko Ivanić ⇄ Kristiyan Balov
68'Substitution · Bamba Dieng ⇄ Marko Arnautović
68'Substitution · Timi Elsnik ⇄ Osman Bukari
Substitution · Mateja Milovanovic ⇄ stefan petrovic71'
83'Yellow card · Muhammed Cham Saracevic
83'Substitution · Muhammed Cham Saracevic ⇄ Mohammad Abu Fani
Yellow card · Milan aleksic85'
90+4'Yellow card · stefan gudelj
90+5'Yellow card · Mahmudu Bajo

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals82%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw92%held
- FK Crvena Zvezda took control early: opening goal in the 17th minute.
Under 3.5 goals59%held
FK Crvena Zvezda to win77%held
FK Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 1′ FK Partizan, 17′ FK Crvena Zvezda, 28′ FK Crvena Zvezda.
Over 2.5 goals62%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 1st minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFK Crvena Zvezda 1st, FK Partizan 11th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, FK Partizan (0-1)
During the match17′ equaliser, FK Crvena Zvezda (1-1)
During the match28′ turnaround, FK Crvena Zvezda go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 91.3% to 91.7% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes