Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super Liga (Serbia) · Serbia

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Železničar Pančevo

5–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 5–0

Radnik Surdulica

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

100% success over 12 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 7 %

A prediction at 93 % fails 7 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/08, 16:31.

Sealed on 29/08, 17:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 13 matches in this league
78%✓
83% success over 12 matches in this league
81%✗
75% success over 8 matches in this league
58%✗
44% success over 9 matches in this league
63%✓

Super Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	-2	16
5	IMT Novi Beograd	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Železničar Pančevo	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	FK Partizan	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Radnicki NIS	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Macva	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Zemun	10	0	3	7	-13	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 11th minute, 6 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Železničar Pančevo or draw78%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Železničar Pančevo against 2.
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
Under 2.5 goals58%lost
Draw or Radnik Surdulica ahead at half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 11′ Radnik Surdulica.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableŽelezničar Pančevo 6th, Radnik Surdulica 7th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Radnik Surdulica (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Železničar Pančevo (1-1)
During the match61′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (2-1)
During the match67′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (3-1)
During the match72′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (4-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (5-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 100% to 92.3% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Železničar Pančevo on the left, Radnik Surdulica on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Darko Stojanović7'
Goal · Luka Žorić (assist : Ayouba Kosiah)11'
Yellow card · Ayouba Kosiah15'
20'Yellow card · Simão Pedro
25'Yellow card · Mamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo
45'Substitution · kristian sekularac ⇄ Aleksa Kuljanin
45'Substitution · Nikola jovanovic ⇄ Kwaku Karikari
Substitution · Darko Stojanović ⇄ Martin Novakovic45'
Substitution · Ayouba Kosiah ⇄ Vukasin Bogdanovic45'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

51'Goal · Janko Jevremovic (assist : Aleksa Kuljanin)
Substitution · Tijan Sohna ⇄ Rafael Pontelo60'
61'Goal · Kwaku Karikari
67'Goal · Aleksa Kuljanin (assist : Kwaku Karikari)
68'Substitution · Simão Pedro ⇄ Srđan Plavšić
Substitution · Emmanuel Quarshie ⇄ Ryonosuke Ohori68'
72'Goal · Kwaku Karikari (assist : Srđan Plavšić)
Substitution · Luka Jovanović ⇄ Martin Djangarovski76'
77'Substitution · David Akpan Ankeye ⇄ Marko Ćurić
Yellow card · Martin Novakovic82'
84'Substitution · Janko Jevremovic ⇄ Davorin Tošić
85'Yellow card · Aleksa Kuljanin
90+2'Goal · Kwaku Karikari (assist : Uros Tegeltija)

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 11th minute, 6 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Železničar Pančevo or draw78%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Železničar Pančevo against 2.
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
Under 2.5 goals58%lost
Draw or Radnik Surdulica ahead at half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 11′ Radnik Surdulica.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableŽelezničar Pančevo 6th, Radnik Surdulica 7th (Super Liga)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Radnik Surdulica (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Železničar Pančevo (1-1)
During the match61′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (2-1)
During the match67′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (3-1)
During the match72′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (4-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Železničar Pančevo go ahead (5-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 100% to 92.3% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes