Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ekstraklasa · Poland

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 13:45. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Zaglebie

0–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–1

Wisla Plock

What Janus-12 said

79%

Zaglebie or draw

81% success over 47 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 21 %

A prediction at 79 % fails 21 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Zaglebie or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 04:06.

Sealed on 20/09, 13:45announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 40 matches in this league
61%✓
47% success over 47 matches in this league
51%✗

Ekstraklasa

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	Legia	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Wisla	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	0	9
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	-9	3

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Zaglebie or draw79%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Wisla Plock scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Zaglebie had 15 shots against 9, for 0 goal against 2.
Draw or Wisla Plock ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 44′ Wisla Plock.
Zaglebie to win51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableZaglebie 7th, Wisla Plock 11th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Wisla Plock (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match90′ Wisla Plock go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Zaglebie or draw” goes from 80.9% to 79.2% success rate, over 48 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Zaglebie on the left, Wisla Plock on the right.

First half

8'Yellow card · Filip Szymczak
20'Yellow card · David Čolina
Yellow card · Afonso Silva42'
Goal · Łukasz Sekulski (assist : Žan Rogelj)44'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

49'Yellow card · Mateusz Grzybek
58'Substitution · David Čolina ⇄ Sebastian Kerk
58'Substitution · Mateusz Grzybek ⇄ Damian Michalski
58'Substitution · Filip Szymczak ⇄ Michalis Kosidis
58'Substitution · Szymon Lyczko ⇄ Mihael Mlinarić
Substitution · Samuel Akere ⇄ Olaf Kobacki65'
Substitution · Jurica Pršir ⇄ Kyriakos Savvidis69'
Yellow card · Patryk Kun76'
Substitution · Patryk Kun ⇄ Fabian Hiszpański81'
Substitution · Sidnei·Tavares ⇄ Marcin Flis81'
Substitution · Łukasz Sekulski ⇄ Said Hamulic82'
82'Substitution · Aleks Lawniczak ⇄ Igor Orlikowski
89'Yellow card · Michał Nalepa
Goal · Said Hamulic (assist : Fabian Hiszpański)90+4'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Zaglebie or draw79%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Wisla Plock scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Zaglebie had 15 shots against 9, for 0 goal against 2.
Draw or Wisla Plock ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 44′ Wisla Plock.
Zaglebie to win51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableZaglebie 7th, Wisla Plock 11th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Wisla Plock (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match90′ Wisla Plock go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Zaglebie or draw” goes from 80.9% to 79.2% success rate, over 48 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ekstraklasa

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes