Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ekstraklasa · Poland

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 11:15. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Piast Gliwice

1–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–1

Pogon Szczecin

What Janus-12 said

71%

Piast Gliwice or draw

83% success over 46 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Piast Gliwice or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 11:33.

Sealed on 20/09, 11:15announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 39 matches in this league
66%✓

Ekstraklasa

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	Legia	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Wisla	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	0	9
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	-9	3

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Piast Gliwice or draw71%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Piast Gliwice had 12 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 2.
- Piast Gliwice chased the score almost all match: Pogon Szczecin scored as early as the 26th minute.
Draw or Pogon Szczecin ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 26′ Pogon Szczecin, 31′ Piast Gliwice.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePiast Gliwice 8th, Pogon Szczecin 5th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Pogon Szczecin (0-1)
During the match31′ equaliser, Piast Gliwice (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ Pogon Szczecin retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Piast Gliwice or draw” goes from 82.6% to 80.9% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Piast Gliwice on the left, Pogon Szczecin on the right.

First half

Goal · Jordi Sánchez (assist : Kellyn Acosta)26'
31'Goal · Samuel Ntamack Ndimba (assist : Jakub Lewicki)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

48'Yellow card · Leandro Mário Baldé Sanca
Goal · Darko Churlinov (assist : Paul Omo Mukairu)57'
61'Substitution · Ivan Lima ⇄ Jason Lokilo
Substitution · Kellyn Acosta ⇄ Jan Bieganski71'
73'Substitution · Samuel Ntamack Ndimba ⇄ Andreas Katsantonis
73'Substitution · Jakub Labojko ⇄ Oskar·Lesniak
Substitution · Darko Churlinov ⇄ Musa Juwara82'
Substitution · Alessandro Riccio ⇄ Hussein Ali83'
Substitution · Paul Omo Mukairu ⇄ Attila Szalai83'
83'Substitution · Jakub Czerwiński ⇄ Levis Pitan
83'Substitution · Hugo Vallejo ⇄ Jorge Félix
90+4'Yellow card · Jakub Lewicki

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Piast Gliwice or draw71%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Piast Gliwice had 12 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 2.
- Piast Gliwice chased the score almost all match: Pogon Szczecin scored as early as the 26th minute.
Draw or Pogon Szczecin ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 26′ Pogon Szczecin, 31′ Piast Gliwice.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePiast Gliwice 8th, Pogon Szczecin 5th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Pogon Szczecin (0-1)
During the match31′ equaliser, Piast Gliwice (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ Pogon Szczecin retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Piast Gliwice or draw” goes from 82.6% to 80.9% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ekstraklasa

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes