Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ekstraklasa · Poland

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 19:15. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Lech Poznan

5–1full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 2–0

Radomiak Radom

What Janus-12 said

87%

Lech Poznan or draw

80% success over 49 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Lech Poznan or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 19:15announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 42 matches in this league
51%✗
45% success over 49 matches in this league
65%✓

Ekstraklasa

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	Legia	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Wisla	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	0	9
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	-9	3

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lech Poznan or draw87%held
- Lech Poznan took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Lech Poznan against 5.
Draw or Radomiak Radom ahead at half-time51%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 1′ Radomiak Radom, 3′ Lech Poznan, 9′ Lech Poznan, 41′ Lech Poznan.
Lech Poznan to win65%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLech Poznan 3rd, Radomiak Radom 14th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Radomiak Radom (0-1)
During the match3′ equaliser, Lech Poznan (1-1)
During the match9′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (2-1)
During the match41′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match51′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (4-1)
During the match67′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (5-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Lech Poznan or draw” goes from 79.6% to 80% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lech Poznan on the left, Radomiak Radom on the right.

First half

Goal · Guilherme Luiz (assist : Romário Baró)1'
3'Goal · Pablo Rodriguez Delgado (assist : Joel Pereira)
Yellow card · Che Nunnely6'
9'Goal · Patrick Walemark
Yellow card · Lucas Lima Linhares14'
41'Goal · Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (assist : Mikael Ishak)
Substitution · Romário Baró ⇄ Rafał Wolski45'
Substitution · Lucas Lima Linhares ⇄ Ibrahima Camará45'

Half-time3 – 1

Second half

51'Goal · Patrick Walemark
60'Yellow card · Joel Pereira
62'Substitution · Filip Jagiełło ⇄ Luis Palma
62'Substitution · Mikael Ishak ⇄ Y. Agnero
67'Goal · Pablo Rodriguez Delgado (assist : Patrick Walemark)
Substitution · Che Nunnely ⇄ Manu67'
70'Substitution · Allahyar Sayyadmanesh ⇄ Daniel Håkans
70'Substitution · Patrick Walemark ⇄ Leo Bengtsson
Substitution · Guilherme Luiz ⇄ Bi Irié Fernand Gouré73'
Substitution · Christos Donis ⇄ Roberto Oliveira Alves74'
81'Substitution · Joel Pereira ⇄ Robert Gumny

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lech Poznan or draw87%held
- Lech Poznan took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Lech Poznan against 5.
Draw or Radomiak Radom ahead at half-time51%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 1′ Radomiak Radom, 3′ Lech Poznan, 9′ Lech Poznan, 41′ Lech Poznan.
Lech Poznan to win65%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLech Poznan 3rd, Radomiak Radom 14th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Radomiak Radom (0-1)
During the match3′ equaliser, Lech Poznan (1-1)
During the match9′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (2-1)
During the match41′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match51′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (4-1)
During the match67′ turnaround, Lech Poznan go ahead (5-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Lech Poznan or draw” goes from 79.6% to 80% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ekstraklasa

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes