Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ekstraklasa · Poland

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 11 September at 17:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Rakow

2–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Motor Lublin

What Janus-12 said

65%

Draw or Motor Lublin ahead at half-time

80% success over 25 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Motor Lublin ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 11/09, 17:00announced on 29/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 31 matches in this league
74%✓

Ekstraklasa

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	Legia	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Wisla	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	0	9
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	-9	3

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Motor Lublin ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 34′ Motor Lublin, 42′ Rakow.
Rakow or draw74%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Rakow against 5.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRakow 18th, Motor Lublin 16th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match34′ opening goal, Motor Lublin (0-1)
During the match42′ equaliser, Rakow (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match77′ turnaround, Rakow go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Motor Lublin ahead at half-time” goes from 80% to 80.8% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rakow on the left, Motor Lublin on the right.

First half

31'Yellow card · Karol Struski
Goal · Kamil Lukoszek (assist : Ivo Rodrigues)34'
42'Goal · Patryk Makuch (assist : Marko Bulat)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

61'Substitution · Karol Struski ⇄ Vladyslav Kochergin
Substitution · Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao ⇄ Makan Aiko62'
76'Substitution · Marko Bulat ⇄ Adam Basse
77'Goal · Patryk Makuch (assist : Vladyslav Kochergin)
Substitution · Mateusz Legowski ⇄ Christopher Simon80'
Substitution · Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye ⇄ Rony Lopes80'
81'Yellow card · Vladyslav Kochergin
Yellow card · Mariusz Misiura85'
87'Substitution · Jean Carlos ⇄ Marko Perović
87'Substitution · Mahir Emreli ⇄ Ojo abraham
Substitution · Kamil Lukoszek ⇄ Paskal Konrad Meyer87'
Substitution · Filip Luberecki ⇄ Mateusz Posmyk87'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Motor Lublin ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 34′ Motor Lublin, 42′ Rakow.
Rakow or draw74%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Rakow against 5.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRakow 18th, Motor Lublin 16th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match34′ opening goal, Motor Lublin (0-1)
During the match42′ equaliser, Rakow (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match77′ turnaround, Rakow go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Motor Lublin ahead at half-time” goes from 80% to 80.8% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ekstraklasa

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes