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Janus-12

Ekstraklasa · Poland

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Motor Lublin

0-2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–2

Piast Gliwice

What Janus-12 said

77%

Motor Lublin or draw

80% success over 20 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 04:46.

Sealed on 29/08, 13:45announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 9 matches in this league
62%✓

Ekstraklasa

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	Legia	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Wisla	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	0	9
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	-9	3

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Motor Lublin or draw77%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Piast Gliwice scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Motor Lublin had 15 shots against 13, for 0 goal against 2.
Draw or Piast Gliwice ahead at half-time62%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMotor Lublin 16th, Piast Gliwice 8th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match78′ opening goal, Piast Gliwice (0-1)
During the match90′ Piast Gliwice go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Motor Lublin or draw” goes from 80% to 76.2% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Motor Lublin on the left, Piast Gliwice on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Quentin Boisgard33'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

62'Substitution · Makan Aiko ⇄ Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao
62'Substitution · Christopher Simon ⇄ Mateusz Legowski
Substitution · Jakub Labojko ⇄ Oskar·Lesniak65'
72'Substitution · Thomas Santos ⇄ Kamil Lukoszek
Goal · Juan de Dios Rivas78'
82'Substitution · Ivo Rodrigues ⇄ F. Haxha
Substitution · Hugo Vallejo ⇄ Jorge Félix83'
Substitution · Samuel Ntamack Ndimba ⇄ Andreas Katsantonis84'
Substitution · Quentin Boisgard ⇄ Oliwier Maziarz84'
Substitution · Ivan Lima ⇄ Szczepan·Mucha90+1'
Goal · Szczepan·Mucha90+2'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Motor Lublin or draw77%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Piast Gliwice scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Motor Lublin had 15 shots against 13, for 0 goal against 2.
Draw or Piast Gliwice ahead at half-time62%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMotor Lublin 16th, Piast Gliwice 8th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match78′ opening goal, Piast Gliwice (0-1)
During the match90′ Piast Gliwice go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Motor Lublin or draw” goes from 80% to 76.2% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ekstraklasa

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes