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Janus-12

Ekstraklasa · Poland

full time

Thursday, 3 September 2026

Lech Poznan

2-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Jagiellonia

What Janus-12 said

58%

Draw or Jagiellonia ahead at half-time

88% success over 16 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Jagiellonia ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/09, 18:00.

Sealed on 03/09, 19:30announced on 21/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 27 matches in this league
80%✓
41% success over 27 matches in this league
53%✓

Ekstraklasa

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	Legia	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Wisla	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	0	9
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	-9	3

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Jagiellonia ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 43′ Lech Poznan, 45′ Jagiellonia.
Lech Poznan or draw80%held
- Lech Poznan took the lead in the 87th minute and never let it go.
Lech Poznan to win53%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLech Poznan 3rd, Jagiellonia 10th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Lech Poznan (1-0)
During the match45′ equaliser, Jagiellonia (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match87′ Lech Poznan retake the lead (2-1)
Line-up87′ the goal came off the bench: R. Gumny (Lech Poznan)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Jagiellonia ahead at half-time” goes from 87.5% to 88.2% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,707 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lech Poznan on the left, Jagiellonia on the right.

First half

43'Goal · P. Rodriguez (assist : J. Pereira)
Goal · Y. Kobayashi (assist : B. Vital)45+4'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

Substitution · Y. Kobayashi ⇄ G. Montoia46'
Substitution · O. Sow ⇄ K. Szmyt59'
Substitution · S. Lozano ⇄ A. Klynge59'
63'Substitution · G. Berggren ⇄ F. Jagiello
64'Substitution · A. Sayyadmanesh ⇄ Y. Agnero
Substitution · E. Kozlowski ⇄ H. Finndell68'
72'Substitution · L. Palma ⇄ L. Bengtsson
73'Substitution · P. Rodriguez ⇄ M. Ishak
80'Yellow card · P. Walemark
Yellow card · R. Conceicao80'
Substitution · N. Prelec ⇄ Y. Sylla82'
83'Substitution · P. Walemark ⇄ R. Gumny
87'Goal · R. Gumny (assist : M. Gurgul)
Yellow card · H. Finndell90+2'

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Jagiellonia ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 43′ Lech Poznan, 45′ Jagiellonia.
Lech Poznan or draw80%held
- Lech Poznan took the lead in the 87th minute and never let it go.
Lech Poznan to win53%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLech Poznan 3rd, Jagiellonia 10th (Ekstraklasa)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Lech Poznan (1-0)
During the match45′ equaliser, Jagiellonia (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match87′ Lech Poznan retake the lead (2-1)
Line-up87′ the goal came off the bench: R. Gumny (Lech Poznan)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Jagiellonia ahead at half-time” goes from 87.5% to 88.2% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,707 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ekstraklasa

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes