Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Olympique Marseille

1-2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–2

Paris Saint Germain

What Janus-12 said

73%

Under 4.5 yellow cards

76% success over 38 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 yellow cards

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 19:45announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 44 matches in this league
83%✓
63% success over 43 matches in this league
82%✓
56% success over 9 matches in this league
54%✓
55% success over 38 matches in this league
73%✓
48% success over 44 matches in this league
60%✓

Ligue 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards73%held
- 3 yellow cards for 12 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 77th minute.
Draw or Paris Saint Germain83%held
- Olympique Marseille played 13 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 77th minute.
- Paris Saint Germain took the lead in the 74th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time82%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 yellow cards54%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards73%held
Paris Saint Germain to win60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOlympique Marseille 17th, Paris Saint Germain 6th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ opening goal, Paris Saint Germain (0-1)
During the match72′ equaliser, Olympique Marseille (1-1)
During the match74′ Paris Saint Germain retake the lead (1-2)
During the match77′ sending-off, Olympique Marseille (Timothy Weah)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 76.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Olympique Marseille on the left, Paris Saint Germain on the right.

First half

30'Substitution · Igor Paixão ⇄ Angel Gomes
32'Yellow card · Timothy Weah
Yellow card · Nuno Mendes39'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

Substitution · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⇄ Ferrán Torres59'
63'Substitution · Amine Harit ⇄ Keyliane Abdallah
Substitution · Fabián Ruiz ⇄ Maghnes Akliouche65'
Goal · Ferrán Torres (assist : Désiré Doue)66'
72'Goal · Angel Gomes (assist : Amine Gouiri)
Goal · Marcos Aoás Corrêa74'
77'Red card · Timothy Weah
Substitution · Ousmane Dembélé ⇄ Mika Godts79'
Substitution · Désiré Doue ⇄ Lucas Beraldo79'
81'Yellow card · Keyliane Abdallah
84'Substitution · Himad Abdelli ⇄ Kelyann Bezahaf
84'Substitution · Neal Maupay ⇄ Faris Moumbagna
84'Substitution · Emerson Palmieri ⇄ Ulisses Garcia
90'Yellow card · Angel Gomes

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards73%held
- 3 yellow cards for 12 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 77th minute.
Draw or Paris Saint Germain83%held
- Olympique Marseille played 13 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 77th minute.
- Paris Saint Germain took the lead in the 74th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time82%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 yellow cards54%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards73%held
Paris Saint Germain to win60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOlympique Marseille 17th, Paris Saint Germain 6th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ opening goal, Paris Saint Germain (0-1)
During the match72′ equaliser, Olympique Marseille (1-1)
During the match74′ Paris Saint Germain retake the lead (1-2)
During the match77′ sending-off, Olympique Marseille (Timothy Weah)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 76.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes