Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 19:45. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Toulouse

3-2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 3–2

Le Havre

What Janus-12 said

64%

Under 4.5 yellow cards

81% success over 32 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 4.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:32.

Sealed on 19/09, 19:45announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 38 matches in this league
77%✓
68% success over 37 matches in this league
64%✓
50% success over 32 matches in this league
77%✓
42% success over 24 matches in this league
56%✓

Ligue 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards64%held
- 4 yellow cards for 32 fouls given.
Toulouse or draw77%held
- Toulouse took the lead in the 49th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Le Havre ahead at half-time64%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 2.5 yellow cards77%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableToulouse 13th, Le Havre 18th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match49′ opening goal, Toulouse (1-0)
During the match51′ Toulouse go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Le Havre

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 81.3% to 81.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Toulouse on the left, Le Havre on the right.

First half

34'Yellow card · Christ Tape

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

49'Penalty goal · Casper Tengstedt
51'Goal · Casper Tengstedt (assist : Thomas Jorgensen)
58'Yellow card · Niko Sigur
Substitution · Rayan Fofana ⇄ Enzo Koffi69'
Substitution · Djibril Ouziad ⇄ Sota Nakamura69'
Substitution · Vincent Sasso ⇄ Junior Mwanga70'
Goal · Josh Maja (assist : Sota Nakamura)71'
72'Substitution · Casper Tengstedt ⇄ Santiago Hidalgo
72'Substitution · Ilyas Azizi ⇄ Sion Oppong
72'Substitution · Rafik Messali ⇄ Alexis Vossah
74'Yellow card · Seny Koumbassa
79'Goal · Thomas Jorgensen (assist : Cristian Casseres)
Yellow card · Sota Nakamura81'
Substitution · Josh Maja ⇄ Ismail Bouneb82'
Substitution · Amir Richardson ⇄ Rassoul Ndiaye82'
Goal · Mbwana Ally Samatta88'

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards64%held
- 4 yellow cards for 32 fouls given.
Toulouse or draw77%held
- Toulouse took the lead in the 49th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Le Havre ahead at half-time64%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 2.5 yellow cards77%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableToulouse 13th, Le Havre 18th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match49′ opening goal, Toulouse (1-0)
During the match51′ Toulouse go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Le Havre

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 81.3% to 81.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes