Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 16:15. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Paris

2-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

Strasbourg

What Janus-12 said

71%

Under 4.5 yellow cards

84% success over 31 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 4.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:32.

Sealed on 19/09, 16:15announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 37 matches in this league
70%✓
71% success over 7 matches in this league
52%✗
69% success over 36 matches in this league
70%✗
48% success over 31 matches in this league
69%✓

Ligue 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards71%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 29 fouls given.
Paris or Strasbourg70%held
Under 3.5 yellow cards52%lost
Draw or Strasbourg ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 18′ Paris.
Over 2.5 yellow cards69%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableParis 3rd, Strasbourg 8th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Paris (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ Paris go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Strasbourg

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 83.9% to 81.3% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Paris on the left, Strasbourg on the right.

First half

18'Goal · Ilan Kebbal (assist : Lassine Sinayoko)
40'Yellow card · Maxime López

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

54'Substitution · Hamari Traore ⇄ Thibault De Smet
57'Goal · Pablo Pagis (assist : Maxime López)
Substitution · Jacobo Ortega ⇄ Conrad Harder58'
Yellow card · Diogo Sousa63'
Yellow card · Gessime Yassine67'
Substitution · Giovanni Reyna ⇄ Dario Essugo67'
Substitution · Samir El-Mourabet ⇄ Pape Demba Diop67'
Substitution · Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw67'
68'Substitution · Pablo Pagis ⇄ Jonathan Ikoné
68'Substitution · Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Rudy Matondo
86'Substitution · Maxime López ⇄ Vincent Marchetti
87'Substitution · Lassine Sinayoko ⇄ Patrick Zabi
Substitution · Gessime Yassine ⇄ Yaya Dieme87'
Own goal · Moustapha Mbow88'
90'Yellow card · Thibault De Smet
90+4'Yellow card · Luca Koleosho

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards71%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 29 fouls given.
Paris or Strasbourg70%held
Under 3.5 yellow cards52%lost
Draw or Strasbourg ahead at half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 18′ Paris.
Over 2.5 yellow cards69%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableParis 3rd, Strasbourg 8th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Paris (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ Paris go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Strasbourg

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 83.9% to 81.3% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes