Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 16:15. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Nice

2-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

LOSC Lille

What Janus-12 said

76%

Draw or LOSC Lille

77% success over 43 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or LOSC Lille

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 16:15announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 36 matches in this league
68%✓
64% success over 42 matches in this league
79%✗
56% success over 36 matches in this league
72%✓
48% success over 27 matches in this league
52%✓

Ligue 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or LOSC Lille76%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: LOSC Lille had 21 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 2.
- LOSC Lille chased the score almost all match: Nice scored as early as the 22nd minute.
Under 4.5 yellow cards68%held
- 4 yellow cards for 25 fouls given.
Draw or LOSC Lille ahead at half-time79%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 22′ Nice.
Over 2.5 yellow cards72%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNice 14th, LOSC Lille 4th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Nice (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ Nice go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match79′ last goal, LOSC Lille

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or LOSC Lille” goes from 76.7% to 75% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Nice on the left, LOSC Lille on the right.

First half

5'Yellow card · Mohamed Abdelmoneim
22'Own goal · Nathan Ngoy
45+1'Yellow card · Xavier Mandza

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Substitution · Ethan Mbappe ⇄ Dilane Bakwa55'
57'Yellow card · Mohamed Amoura
58'Substitution · Youssouf Ndayishimiye ⇄ Alidu Seidu
Substitution · Basar Onal ⇄ Osame Sahraoui64'
Substitution · Benjamin André ⇄ Maurits Kjaergaard64'
Substitution · Hákon Arnar Haraldsson ⇄ Olivier Giroud64'
67'Goal · Mohamed Amoura (assist : Gauthier Hein)
73'Substitution · Djibril Coulibaly ⇄ Everton Pereira
74'Substitution · Sepe Elye Wahi ⇄ Sofiane Diop
Substitution · Nabil Bentaleb ⇄ Ngal'ayel Mukau77'
77'Substitution · Mohamed Amoura ⇄ Nathan Ngoumou
78'Substitution · Niels Nkounkou ⇄ Ali Abdi
Goal · Ayase Ueda (assist : Maurits Kjaergaard)79'
Yellow card · Maurits Kjaergaard90+1'

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or LOSC Lille76%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: LOSC Lille had 21 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 2.
- LOSC Lille chased the score almost all match: Nice scored as early as the 22nd minute.
Under 4.5 yellow cards68%held
- 4 yellow cards for 25 fouls given.
Draw or LOSC Lille ahead at half-time79%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 22′ Nice.
Over 2.5 yellow cards72%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNice 14th, LOSC Lille 4th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Nice (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ Nice go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match79′ last goal, LOSC Lille

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or LOSC Lille” goes from 76.7% to 75% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes