Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 19:45. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Monaco

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

Lens

What Janus-12 said

72%

Monaco or Lens

75% success over 36 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Monaco or Lens

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 18/09, 19:45announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 35 matches in this league
65%✗

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Monaco or Lens72%held
Draw or Lens ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 32′ Monaco.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMonaco 1st, Lens 15th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Monaco (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ equaliser, Lens (1-1)
During the match84′ Monaco retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Monaco or Lens” goes from 75% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Monaco on the left, Lens on the right.

First half

VAR: Penalty cancelled · Michaël Cuisance20'
32'Goal · Paris Brunner (assist : Matthis Abline)
Substitution · Jean-Clair Todibo ⇄ Jonathan Gradit45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Florian Thauvin53'
Goal · Matthieu Udol (assist : Florian Thauvin)57'
Substitution · Mezian Soares Mesloub ⇄ Thorgan Hazard58'
Substitution · Abdallah Sima ⇄ Odsonne Édouard58'
62'Substitution · Edan Diop ⇄ Mathys Detourbet
Substitution · Junior Kadile ⇄ Michał Skóraś69'
71'Yellow card · Lamine Camara
Substitution · Amadou Haidara ⇄ Andrija Bulatović72'
76'Substitution · Matthis Abline ⇄ Folarin Balogun
76'Substitution · Denis Zakaria ⇄ Pape Cabral
84'Own goal · Jonathan Gradit
90+2'Substitution · Paris Brunner ⇄ Mohammed Salisu

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Monaco or Lens72%held
Draw or Lens ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 32′ Monaco.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMonaco 1st, Lens 15th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Monaco (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ equaliser, Lens (1-1)
During the match84′ Monaco retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Monaco or Lens” goes from 75% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes