Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 19:45. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Angers SCO

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Troyes

What Janus-12 said

71%

Under 4.5 yellow cards

81% success over 32 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 4.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:32.

Sealed on 19/09, 19:45announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 38 matches in this league
75%✓
68% success over 37 matches in this league
64%✗
50% success over 32 matches in this league
77%✓
42% success over 24 matches in this league
55%✓

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards71%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 29 fouls given.
Angers SCO or draw75%held
- Angers SCO took the lead in the 42nd minute and never let it go.
Draw or Troyes ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 42′ Angers SCO.
Over 2.5 yellow cards77%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAngers SCO 7th, Troyes 16th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match42′ opening goal, Angers SCO (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ Angers SCO go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 81.3% to 78.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Angers SCO on the left, Troyes on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Iron Gomis35'
42'Goal · Prosper Peter (assist : Amine Sbaï)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

51'VAR: Goal cancelled · Amine El Ouazzani
57'Goal · Amine Sbaï (assist : Amine El Ouazzani)
63'Yellow card · Jim Allevinah
Substitution · Noah Donkor ⇄ Lucas Maronnier67'
Substitution · Timothee Nkada ⇄ Hugo Picard67'
Substitution · Mouhamed Diop ⇄ Renaud Ripart67'
69'Substitution · Prosper Peter ⇄ Usman Simbakoli
69'Substitution · Jim Allevinah ⇄ Harouna Djibirin
Substitution · Jérémy Le Douaron ⇄ Yacouba Koné73'
77'Substitution · Amine El Ouazzani ⇄ Haris Belkebla
77'Substitution · Carlens Arcus ⇄ Lillian Rao-Lisoa
Substitution · Yacouba Koné ⇄ Kandet Diawara78'
85'Substitution · Amine Sbaï ⇄ Anthony Bermont
86'Yellow card · Yassine Belkdim
Yellow card · Antoine Mille89'
90+2'Yellow card · Ousmane Camara

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards71%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 29 fouls given.
Angers SCO or draw75%held
- Angers SCO took the lead in the 42nd minute and never let it go.
Draw or Troyes ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 42′ Angers SCO.
Over 2.5 yellow cards77%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAngers SCO 7th, Troyes 16th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match42′ opening goal, Angers SCO (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ Angers SCO go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 81.3% to 78.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes