Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Lorient

2–2full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–2

Toulouse

What Janus-12 said

71%

Lorient or Toulouse

76% success over 29 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Lorient or Toulouse

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 05:32.

Sealed on 12/09, 19:45announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 28 matches in this league
68%✗

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lorient or Toulouse71%lost
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Draw or Toulouse ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 37′ Lorient, 39′ Lorient.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLorient 12th, Toulouse 13th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match37′ opening goal, Lorient (1-0)
During the match39′ Lorient go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match68′ Toulouse come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Lorient or Toulouse” goes from 75.9% to 73.3% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lorient on the left, Toulouse on the right.

First half

17'Yellow card · Panos Katseris
37'Goal · Ibrahima Balde (assist : Panos Katseris)
39'Goal · Noah Mbamba (assist : Panos Katseris)
Substitution · Rafik Messali ⇄ Niko Sigur45'
Substitution · Santiago Hidalgo ⇄ Casper Tengstedt45'

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Goal · Casper Tengstedt (assist : Cristian Casseres)48'
58'Substitution · Panos Katseris ⇄ Théo Le Bris
58'Substitution · Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Isak Jensen
Substitution · Ilyas Azizi ⇄ Sion Oppong67'
Goal · Thomas Jorgensen (assist : Cristian Casseres)68'
69'Substitution · Ibrahima Balde ⇄ Mamadou Kone
69'Substitution · Noah Mbamba ⇄ Arthur Avom
Substitution · Niklas Schmidt ⇄ Alexis Vossah84'
Substitution · Christ Tape ⇄ Ismaïl Diallo84'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lorient or Toulouse71%lost
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Draw or Toulouse ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 37′ Lorient, 39′ Lorient.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLorient 12th, Toulouse 13th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match37′ opening goal, Lorient (1-0)
During the match39′ Lorient go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match68′ Toulouse come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Lorient or Toulouse” goes from 75.9% to 73.3% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes