Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Le Mans

2-2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–1

Lens

What Janus-12 said

81%

Draw or Lens ahead at half-time

75% success over 32 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 19 %

A prediction at 81 % fails 19 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Lens ahead at half-time

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 20:03.

Sealed on 13/09, 16:15announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 33 matches in this league
82%✓
42% success over 33 matches in this league
57%✗

Ligue 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Lens ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 32′ Le Mans, 44′ Le Mans, 45′ Lens.
Draw or Lens82%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Lens against 4.
Lens to win57%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lens had 16 shots against 12, for 2 goals against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLe Mans 9th, Lens 15th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Le Mans (1-0)
During the match44′ Le Mans go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match51′ Lens come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Lens ahead at half-time” goes from 75% to 72.7% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Le Mans on the left, Lens on the right.

First half

15'Yellow card · Noa Boissé
Yellow card · Michaël Cuisance20'
28'Yellow card · Jean Vercruysse
32'Goal · Adil Bourabaa
Yellow card · Andrija Bulatović38'
44'Goal · Lucas Calodat (assist : Adil Bourabaa)
Substitution · Michaël Cuisance ⇄ Amadou Haidara45'
45'Substitution · Noa Boissé ⇄ Djibril Sidibé
Substitution · Odsonne Édouard ⇄ Franjo Ivanovic45'
Substitution · Michał Skóraś ⇄ Mezian Soares Mesloub45'
Goal · Abdallah Sima45+2'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

Goal · Franjo Ivanovic (assist : Ruben Aguilar)51'
Yellow card · Florian Thauvin53'
Substitution · Jonathan Gradit ⇄ Jean-Clair Todibo55'
65'Substitution · Lucas Bretelle ⇄ Alexandre Lauray
65'Substitution · Jean Vercruysse ⇄ Daouda Traore
65'Substitution · Dame Gueye ⇄ Habib Diallo
Substitution · Abdallah Sima ⇄ Thorgan Hazard76'
77'Substitution · Samuel Yohou ⇄ Raul Torrente Navarro
VAR: Penalty cancelled · Thorgan Hazard78'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Lens ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 32′ Le Mans, 44′ Le Mans, 45′ Lens.
Draw or Lens82%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Lens against 4.
Lens to win57%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lens had 16 shots against 12, for 2 goals against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLe Mans 9th, Lens 15th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Le Mans (1-0)
During the match44′ Le Mans go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match51′ Lens come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Lens ahead at half-time” goes from 75% to 72.7% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes