Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Troyes

2–6full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–4

Strasbourg

What Janus-12 said

77%

Draw or Strasbourg

79% success over 24 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Strasbourg

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 12:02.

Sealed on 06/09, 14:00announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 23 matches in this league
77%✓
42% success over 24 matches in this league
51%✓

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Strasbourg77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Strasbourg against 6.
Draw or Strasbourg ahead at half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 9′ Troyes, 40′ Strasbourg, 42′ Strasbourg.
Strasbourg to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTroyes 16th, Strasbourg 8th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Troyes (1-0)
During the match40′ equaliser, Strasbourg (1-1)
During the match42′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match57′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-3)
During the match85′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-4)
During the match88′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-5)
During the match90′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-6)
During the match90′ Strasbourg go 4 goals up (2-6)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Strasbourg” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Troyes on the left, Strasbourg on the right.

First half

9'Goal · Antoine Mille (assist : Anis Ouzenadji)
37'Yellow card · Junior Diaz
Goal · Jacobo Ortega (assist : Gessime Yassine)40'
Goal · Diogo Sousa42'
Yellow card · Pape Demba Diop45+2'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

56'Substitution · Merwan Ifnaoui ⇄ Kandet Diawara
56'Substitution · Hugo Picard ⇄ Jérémy Le Douaron
Goal · Giovanni Reyna (assist : Jacobo Ortega)57'
Substitution · Giovanni Reyna ⇄ Dario Essugo63'
Substitution · Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw63'
70'Substitution · Renaud Ripart ⇄ Timothee Nkada
Substitution · Ismael Doukoure ⇄ Abdoul Karim Coulibaly70'
Substitution · Jacobo Ortega ⇄ Conrad Harder71'
Substitution · Gessime Yassine ⇄ Lucas Høgsberg79'
84'Substitution · Dermane Karim ⇄ Yacouba Koné
84'Substitution · Lucas Maronnier ⇄ Iron Gomis
Goal · Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (assist : Dario Essugo)85'
Goal · Samuel Amo-Ameyaw88'
Goal · Conrad Harder (assist : Diogo Sousa)90+2'
90+5'Goal · Jérémy Le Douaron (assist : Kandet Diawara)

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Strasbourg77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Strasbourg against 6.
Draw or Strasbourg ahead at half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 9′ Troyes, 40′ Strasbourg, 42′ Strasbourg.
Strasbourg to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTroyes 16th, Strasbourg 8th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Troyes (1-0)
During the match40′ equaliser, Strasbourg (1-1)
During the match42′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match57′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-3)
During the match85′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-4)
During the match88′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-5)
During the match90′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (1-6)
During the match90′ Strasbourg go 4 goals up (2-6)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Strasbourg” goes from 79.2% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes