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Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

Paris Saint Germain

1–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–2

Monaco

What Janus-12 said

82%

Paris Saint Germain or draw

84% success over 19 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 18 %

A prediction at 82 % fails 18 % of the time: it happened.

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 21:31.

Sealed on 04/09, 20:05announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

72% success over 18 matches in this league
53%✗
47% success over 19 matches in this league
59%✗

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paris Saint Germain or draw82%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Paris Saint Germain had 23 shots against 4, for 1 goal against 2.
Draw or Monaco ahead at half-time53%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 31′ Paris Saint Germain.
Paris Saint Germain to win59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableParis Saint Germain 6th, Monaco 1st (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Paris Saint Germain (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match58′ equaliser, Monaco (1-1)
During the match72′ turnaround, Monaco go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Paris Saint Germain or draw” goes from 84.2% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Paris Saint Germain on the left, Monaco on the right.

First half

31'Goal · Marcos Aoás Corrêa (assist : Khvicha Kvaratskhelia)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Vanderson ⇄ Jordan Teze52'
Goal · Flavio Nazinho (assist : Jordan Teze)58'
63'Substitution · Désiré Doue ⇄ Ferrán Torres
64'Substitution · Warren Zaire-Emery ⇄ Lucas Hernández
68'Yellow card · Lucas Hernández
Yellow card · Jordan Teze68'
68'Substitution · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⇄ Mika Godts
69'Substitution · Maghnes Akliouche ⇄ Ousmane Dembélé
Goal · Stanis Idumbo (assist : Aleksandr Golovin)72'
Substitution · Mamadou Coulibaly ⇄ Anis Soubeir73'
Substitution · Paris Brunner ⇄ Matthis Abline73'
76'Substitution · Fabián Ruiz ⇄ Dro Fernández
Substitution · Aleksandr Golovin ⇄ Safouane Benzahra87'
Substitution · Stanis Idumbo ⇄ Christian Mawissa87'

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Paris Saint Germain or draw82%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Paris Saint Germain had 23 shots against 4, for 1 goal against 2.
Draw or Monaco ahead at half-time53%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 31′ Paris Saint Germain.
Paris Saint Germain to win59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableParis Saint Germain 6th, Monaco 1st (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Paris Saint Germain (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match58′ equaliser, Monaco (1-1)
During the match72′ turnaround, Monaco go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Paris Saint Germain or draw” goes from 84.2% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes