Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Nice

1–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Le Mans

What Janus-12 said

77%

Nice or draw

77% success over 22 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Nice or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 19:32.

Sealed on 05/09, 19:45announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 21 matches in this league
63%✓

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Nice or draw77%held
Draw or Le Mans ahead at half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 13′ Le Mans, 44′ Nice.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNice 14th, Le Mans 9th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Le Mans (0-1)
During the match44′ equaliser, Nice (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Nice or draw” goes from 77.3% to 78.3% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Nice on the left, Le Mans on the right.

First half

Goal · Adil Bourabaa (assist : Jean Vercruysse)13'
44'Goal · Sepe Elye Wahi (assist : Sofiane Diop)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Alexandre Lauray58'
Substitution · Raul Torrente Navarro ⇄ Samuel Yohou61'
Substitution · Jean Vercruysse ⇄ Antoine Rabillard61'
Substitution · Dame Gueye ⇄ Habib Diallo61'
65'Substitution · Nathan Ngoumou ⇄ Gauthier Hein
65'Substitution · Sofiane Diop ⇄ Mohamed Amoura
Substitution · Adil Bourabaa ⇄ Bilal Brahimi70'
73'Substitution · Axel Witsel ⇄ Antoine Mendy
73'Substitution · Niels Nkounkou ⇄ Ali Abdi
75'Yellow card · Youssouf Ndayishimiye
Substitution · Lucas Calodat ⇄ Yasser Larouci78'
Yellow card · Noa Boissé82'
84'Yellow card · Sepe Elye Wahi
85'Substitution · Jonathan Clauss ⇄ Aboulaye Camara

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Nice or draw77%held
Draw or Le Mans ahead at half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 13′ Le Mans, 44′ Nice.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNice 14th, Le Mans 9th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Le Mans (0-1)
During the match44′ equaliser, Nice (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Nice or draw” goes from 77.3% to 78.3% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes