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Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Olympique Marseille

2–3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–1

Paris

What Janus-12 said

74%

Olympique Marseille or draw

81% success over 26 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Olympique Marseille or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 04:49.

Sealed on 06/09, 19:45announced on 24/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

72% success over 25 matches in this league
64%✓

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Olympique Marseille or draw74%lost
- Olympique Marseille chased the score almost all match: Paris scored as early as the 1st minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Paris scored in the 86th minute.
Draw or Paris ahead at half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 1′ Paris, 8′ Olympique Marseille, 19′ Paris.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOlympique Marseille 17th, Paris 3rd (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Paris (0-1)
During the match8′ equaliser, Olympique Marseille (1-1)
During the match19′ Paris retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match53′ equaliser, Olympique Marseille (2-2)
During the match86′ Paris retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Olympique Marseille or draw” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Olympique Marseille on the left, Paris on the right.

First half

Goal · Lassine Sinayoko (assist : Luca Koleosho)1'
8'Goal · Amine Gouiri
Goal · Lassine Sinayoko (assist : Pablo Pagis)19'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

53'Goal · Amine Gouiri (assist : Amine Harit)
Substitution · Pablo Pagis ⇄ Rudy Matondo64'
Yellow card · Rudy Matondo65'
72'Substitution · Igor Paixão ⇄ Tadjidine Mmadi
73'Substitution · Angel Gomes ⇄ Keyliane Abdallah
73'Substitution · Nayef Aguerd ⇄ Derek Cornelius
Substitution · Luca Koleosho ⇄ Moses Simon77'
Substitution · Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Patrick Zabi77'
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Moses Simon83'
Penalty goal · Lassine Sinayoko86'
Yellow card · Lassine Sinayoko87'
Substitution · Maxime López ⇄ Moustapha Mbow90+1'
Substitution · Lassine Sinayoko ⇄ Omar Sissoko90+1'
90+1'Substitution · Emerson Palmieri ⇄ Ulisses Garcia
90+1'Substitution · Himad Abdelli ⇄ Faris Moumbagna

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Olympique Marseille or draw74%lost
- Olympique Marseille chased the score almost all match: Paris scored as early as the 1st minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Paris scored in the 86th minute.
Draw or Paris ahead at half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 1′ Paris, 8′ Olympique Marseille, 19′ Paris.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOlympique Marseille 17th, Paris 3rd (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Paris (0-1)
During the match8′ equaliser, Olympique Marseille (1-1)
During the match19′ Paris retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match53′ equaliser, Olympique Marseille (2-2)
During the match86′ Paris retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Olympique Marseille or draw” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes