Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Lens

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Lorient

What Janus-12 said

81%

Lens or draw

81% success over 21 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 19 %

A prediction at 81 % fails 19 % of the time: it happened.

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 19:32.

Sealed on 05/09, 16:15announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

65% success over 20 matches in this league
52%✓
48% success over 21 matches in this league
56%✗

Ligue 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lens or draw81%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lens had 17 shots against 8, for 0 goal against 1.
Draw or Lorient ahead at half-time52%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Lens to win56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLens 15th, Lorient 12th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match54′ opening goal, Lorient (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Lens or draw” goes from 81% to 77.3% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lens on the left, Lorient on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Nathaniel Adjei14'
24'Substitution · Matthieu Udol ⇄ Souleymane Sagnan
26'Yellow card · Yassine Titraoui

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Goal · Mamadou Kone (assist : Panos Katseris)54'
60'Substitution · Yassine Titraoui ⇄ Andrija Bulatović
61'Substitution · Amadou Haidara ⇄ Michaël Cuisance
Substitution · Panos Katseris ⇄ Théo Le Bris67'
Substitution · Mamadou Kone ⇄ Ibrahima Balde67'
Substitution · Noah Mbamba ⇄ Arthur Avom67'
70'Substitution · Ruben Aguilar ⇄ Florian Sotoca
70'Substitution · Thorgan Hazard ⇄ Odsonne Édouard
Substitution · Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Isak Jensen75'
77'Yellow card · Michał Skóraś
85'Yellow card · Souleymane Sagnan

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lens or draw81%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lens had 17 shots against 8, for 0 goal against 1.
Draw or Lorient ahead at half-time52%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Lens to win56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLens 15th, Lorient 12th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match54′ opening goal, Lorient (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Lens or draw” goes from 81% to 77.3% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes