Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 1 · France

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Strasbourg

2-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Lens

What Janus-12 said

71%

Strasbourg or Lens

90% success over 10 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Strasbourg or Lens

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 17:03.

Sealed on 29/08, 16:15announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 10 matches in this league
73%✓

Ligue 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Paris	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	LOSC Lille	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Angers SCO	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	0	4
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Olympique Marseille	5	1	0	4	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	-3	2

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Strasbourg or Lens71%held
Draw or Lens ahead at half-time73%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 38′ Lens.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableStrasbourg 8th, Lens 15th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Lens (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match48′ equaliser, Strasbourg (1-1)
During the match85′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Strasbourg or Lens” goes from 90% to 90.9% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Strasbourg on the left, Lens on the right.

First half

36'Yellow card · Jeyland Mitchell
Penalty goal · Florian Thauvin38'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

48'Goal · Gessime Yassine (assist : Sebastian Nanasi)
56'VAR: Goal cancelled · Jacobo Ortega
Substitution · Maik Nawrocki ⇄ Ruben Aguilar62'
Yellow card · Franjo Ivanovic69'
Substitution · Michaël Cuisance ⇄ Andrija Bulatović72'
Substitution · Franjo Ivanovic ⇄ Thorgan Hazard73'
76'Substitution · Giovanni Reyna ⇄ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Yellow card · Ruben Aguilar80'
83'Substitution · Lucas Høgsberg ⇄ Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
83'Substitution · Jacobo Ortega ⇄ Sekou Mara
84'Yellow card · Gessime Yassine
85'Goal · Gessime Yassine (assist : Sebastian Nanasi)
Substitution · Abdallah Sima ⇄ Florian Sotoca89'
Substitution · Michał Skóraś ⇄ Mezian Soares Mesloub89'
90'Substitution · Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Mateo Del Blanco
90'Substitution · Gessime Yassine ⇄ Fábio Baldé

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Strasbourg or Lens71%held
Draw or Lens ahead at half-time73%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 38′ Lens.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableStrasbourg 8th, Lens 15th (Ligue 1)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Lens (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match48′ equaliser, Strasbourg (1-1)
During the match85′ turnaround, Strasbourg go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Strasbourg or Lens” goes from 90% to 90.9% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes