Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 2 · France

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Pau FC

2–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 2–0

Dunkerque

What Janus-12 said

70%

Pau FC or draw

86% success over 36 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Pau FC or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:31.

Sealed on 18/09, 19:00announced on 04/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Ligue 2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Saint-Étienne	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	0	9
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	-6	5

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Pau FC or draw70%held
- Dunkerque played 79 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 11th minute.
- Pau FC took the lead in the 49th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePau FC 10th, Dunkerque 12th (Ligue 2)

During the match

During the match11′ sending-off, Dunkerque (Victor Mayela)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match49′ opening goal, Pau FC (1-0)
During the match88′ Pau FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up88′ the goal came off the bench: Abdoulaye Mbaye (Pau FC)

What it changes

In this league, “Pau FC or draw” goes from 86.1% to 86.5% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Pau FC on the left, Dunkerque on the right.

First half

Red card · Victor Mayela11'
16'Yellow card · Anthony Briançon
Substitution · Gaëtan Robail ⇄ Bram Lagae17'
32'Yellow card · Abdel Hakim Abdallah

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

49'Penalty goal · Jessy Benet
Yellow card · Bram Lagae52'
58'Substitution · Axel Bamba ⇄ Axel Dodote
Yellow card · Albert Sánchez Saura63'
66'Substitution · Jeremy Sebas ⇄ Abdoulaye Mbaye
67'Substitution · Abdel Hakim Abdallah ⇄ Souleymane Basse
Substitution · Jordan Morel ⇄ Ousmane Touré67'
Substitution · Egor Prutsev ⇄ Enzo Mayilla68'
Substitution · Souleymane Keita ⇄ Pape Dieng77'
Substitution · Théna Massock ⇄ Franck Leroy Atoen77'
Yellow card · Enzo Mayilla81'
83'Substitution · Tom Saettel ⇄ Lorenzo Rajot
88'Goal · Abdoulaye Mbaye (assist : Lorenzo Rajot)

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Pau FC or draw70%held
- Dunkerque played 79 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 11th minute.
- Pau FC took the lead in the 49th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePau FC 10th, Dunkerque 12th (Ligue 2)

During the match

During the match11′ sending-off, Dunkerque (Victor Mayela)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match49′ opening goal, Pau FC (1-0)
During the match88′ Pau FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up88′ the goal came off the bench: Abdoulaye Mbaye (Pau FC)

What it changes

In this league, “Pau FC or draw” goes from 86.1% to 86.5% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes