Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 2 · France

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Guingamp

1–3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 1–1

Red Star

What Janus-12 said

69%

Guingamp or draw

81% success over 42 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 31 %

A prediction at 69 % fails 31 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Guingamp or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:32.

Sealed on 19/09, 13:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Ligue 2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Saint-Étienne	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	0	9
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	-6	5

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Guingamp or draw69%lost
- Guingamp finished with ten men: sent off in the 12th minute, 78 minutes a man down.
- Guingamp chased the score almost all match: Red Star scored as early as the 24th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuingamp 11th, Red Star 2nd (Ligue 2)

During the match

During the match12′ sending-off, Guingamp (Donacien Gomis)
During the match24′ opening goal, Red Star (0-1)
During the match38′ Red Star go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Guingamp or draw” goes from 81% to 79.1% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Guingamp on the left, Red Star on the right.

First half

3'Yellow card · Erwin Koffi
12'Red card · Donacien Gomis
15'Substitution · Tom Ducrocq ⇄ Albin Demouchy
Goal · Damien Durand (assist : Islamdine Halifa)24'
29'Yellow card · Jeovanni Dianganga
Goal · Jovany Ikanga A Ngele (assist : Islamdine Halifa)38'
45'Substitution · Tanguy Ahile ⇄ Jasser Chamakh
45'Substitution · Teddy Andami Averlant ⇄ Stanislas Kielt
45'Substitution · Tuomas Ollila ⇄ V. Muntu Wa Mungu

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

Yellow card · Saîf-Eddine Khaoui50'
Substitution · Godson Kyeremeh ⇄ Kémo Cissé62'
Substitution · Islamdine Halifa ⇄ Mahamadou Diawara62'
Substitution · Saîf-Eddine Khaoui ⇄ Samuel Renel62'
66'Substitution · Jeovanni Dianganga ⇄ Amadou Samoura
67'Goal · Erwin Koffi (assist : V. Muntu Wa Mungu)
Goal · Damien Durand (assist : Jovany Ikanga A Ngele)69'
Substitution · Jovany Ikanga A Ngele ⇄ Kevin Cabral70'
Yellow card · Bradley Danger72'
Substitution · Bradley Danger ⇄ Idrissa Sabaly79'
Yellow card · Dylan Durivaux81'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Guingamp or draw69%lost
- Guingamp finished with ten men: sent off in the 12th minute, 78 minutes a man down.
- Guingamp chased the score almost all match: Red Star scored as early as the 24th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuingamp 11th, Red Star 2nd (Ligue 2)

During the match

During the match12′ sending-off, Guingamp (Donacien Gomis)
During the match24′ opening goal, Red Star (0-1)
During the match38′ Red Star go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Guingamp or draw” goes from 81% to 79.1% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes