Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligue 2 · France

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Dunkerque

2–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Saint-Étienne

What Janus-12 said

79%

Draw or Saint-Étienne

88% success over 34 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 21 %

A prediction at 79 % fails 21 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Saint-Étienne

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 22:03.

Sealed on 12/09, 19:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

35% success over 34 matches in this league
53%✗

Ligue 2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Saint-Étienne	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	0	9
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	-6	5

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Saint-Étienne79%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Saint-Étienne had 11 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
Saint-Étienne to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDunkerque 12th, Saint-Étienne 1st (Ligue 2)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Saint-Étienne (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match52′ equaliser, Dunkerque (1-1)
During the match58′ turnaround, Dunkerque go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Saint-Étienne” goes from 88.2% to 85.7% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Dunkerque on the left, Saint-Étienne on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Julien Le Cardinal19'
39'Yellow card · Adrian Lebeau
Goal · Augustine Boakye (assist : Zuriko Davitashvili)43'
45'Substitution · Adrian Lebeau ⇄ Gaëtan Robail

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Tamar Svetlin51'
52'Goal · Khalil Ayari (assist : Souleymane Keita)
52'Yellow card · Khalil Ayari
Substitution · Tamar Svetlin ⇄ Ben Old53'
Substitution · Thierno Ballo ⇄ Jakob Breum53'
58'Goal · Souleymane Keita (assist : Victor Mayela)
Substitution · Irvin Cardona ⇄ Joshua Duffus70'
Substitution · Kevin Pedro ⇄ João Ferreira70'
71'Substitution · Khalil Ayari ⇄ Ousmane Touré
71'Substitution · Souleymane Keita ⇄ Enzo Mayilla
Substitution · Maxime Bernauer ⇄ Nadir El Jamali77'
77'Substitution · Egor Prutsev ⇄ Steven N'Zonzi
85'Substitution · Jordan Morel ⇄ Franck Leroy Atoen
90'Yellow card · Théna Massock
90+6'Yellow card · Franck Leroy Atoen

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Saint-Étienne79%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Saint-Étienne had 11 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
Saint-Étienne to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDunkerque 12th, Saint-Étienne 1st (Ligue 2)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Saint-Étienne (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match52′ equaliser, Dunkerque (1-1)
During the match58′ turnaround, Dunkerque go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Saint-Étienne” goes from 88.2% to 85.7% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligue 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes