Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eredivisie · Netherlands

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed (3 times)

Brought forward to Sunday 20 September at 13:30. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 15:45.

Change noted on 11/09.

Twente

3–2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 2–0

PSV Eindhoven

What Janus-12 said

80%

Draw or PSV Eindhoven

83% success over 47 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 20 %

A prediction at 80 % fails 20 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or PSV Eindhoven

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:03.

Sealed on 20/09, 13:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 47 matches in this league
77%✓
77% success over 39 matches in this league
79%✓
68% success over 47 matches in this league
65%✓
55% success over 47 matches in this league
55%✗
43% success over 42 matches in this league
56%✗

Eredivisie

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or PSV Eindhoven80%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Twente scored in the 83rd minute.
- PSV Eindhoven chased the score almost all match: Twente scored as early as the 14th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 14′ Twente, 26′ PSV Eindhoven, 29′ PSV Eindhoven.
Draw or PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time79%held
One team ahead at half-time65%held
PSV Eindhoven to win55%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTwente 4th, PSV Eindhoven 3rd (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Twente (1-0)
During the match26′ equaliser, PSV Eindhoven (1-1)
During the match29′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match79′ equaliser, Twente (2-2)
During the match83′ turnaround, Twente go ahead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or PSV Eindhoven” goes from 83% to 81.3% success rate, over 48 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Twente on the left, PSV Eindhoven on the right.

First half

Substitution · Ricardo Pepi ⇄ Sven Mijnans10'
14'Goal · Younes Taha El Idrissi
Goal · Guus Til (assist : Mauro Júnior)26'
Goal · Guus Til (assist : Paul Wanner)29'
43'Yellow card · Wout Weghorst

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

58'Substitution · Filip Erik Thorvaldsen ⇄ Daan Rots
Yellow card · Ruben van Bommel60'
Yellow card · Ivan Perišić66'
Substitution · Ruben van Bommel ⇄ Esmir Bajraktarević75'
76'Substitution · Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter ⇄ Marko Pjaca
76'Substitution · Robin Propper ⇄ Lucas hesselink of vennegoor
79'Goal · Wout Weghorst (assist : Daan Rots)
Substitution · Paul Wanner ⇄ Ryan Flamingo80'
83'Goal · Daouda Weidmann (assist : Max Bruns)
86'Substitution · Younes Taha El Idrissi ⇄ Thomas Van den Belt

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or PSV Eindhoven80%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Twente scored in the 83rd minute.
- PSV Eindhoven chased the score almost all match: Twente scored as early as the 14th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 14′ Twente, 26′ PSV Eindhoven, 29′ PSV Eindhoven.
Draw or PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time79%held
One team ahead at half-time65%held
PSV Eindhoven to win55%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTwente 4th, PSV Eindhoven 3rd (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Twente (1-0)
During the match26′ equaliser, PSV Eindhoven (1-1)
During the match29′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match79′ equaliser, Twente (2-2)
During the match83′ turnaround, Twente go ahead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or PSV Eindhoven” goes from 83% to 81.3% success rate, over 48 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eredivisie

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes