Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eredivisie · Netherlands

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 13:30.

Change noted on 03/09.

PSV Eindhoven

4–1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 2–0

Sparta Rotterdam

What Janus-12 said

96%

PSV Eindhoven or draw

82% success over 39 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: PSV Eindhoven or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 20:02.

Sealed on 13/09, 19:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 39 matches in this league
85%✓
67% success over 39 matches in this league
78%✓
60% success over 5 matches in this league
67%✓
54% success over 39 matches in this league
87%✓
33% success over 3 matches in this league
56%✓

Eredivisie

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

PSV Eindhoven or draw96%held
- PSV Eindhoven took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for PSV Eindhoven against 6.
At least 1 goal before half-time85%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 15′ Sparta Rotterdam, 23′ PSV Eindhoven, 39′ PSV Eindhoven.
One team ahead at half-time78%held
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time67%held
PSV Eindhoven to win87%held
2 or more goals before half-time56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePSV Eindhoven 3rd, Sparta Rotterdam 12th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Sparta Rotterdam (0-1)
During the match23′ equaliser, PSV Eindhoven (1-1)
During the match39′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match74′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (3-1)
During the match88′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (4-1)

What it changes

In this league, “PSV Eindhoven or draw” goes from 82.1% to 82.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

PSV Eindhoven on the left, Sparta Rotterdam on the right.

First half

Goal · Milan Zonneveld (assist : Bas Kuipers)15'
23'Goal · Sven Mijnans (assist : Esmir Bajraktarević)
Yellow card · Bruno Martins Indi30'
39'Goal · Kodai Sano (assist : Esmir Bajraktarević)

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

60'Substitution · Esmir Bajraktarević ⇄ Ivan Perišić
60'Substitution · Guus Til ⇄ Ricardo Pepi
60'Substitution · Amir Bouhamdi ⇄ Ruben van Bommel
Substitution · Casper Terho ⇄ Teo Quintero León63'
Substitution · Julian Baas ⇄ Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi63'
74'Goal · Sven Mijnans
75'Yellow card · Armando Obispo
77'Substitution · Paul Wanner ⇄ Noah Fernandez
Substitution · Milan Zonneveld ⇄ Andrej Kostić77'
Substitution · Mitchell Van Bergen ⇄ Robin van Cruijsen77'
Substitution · Bruno Martins Indi ⇄ Joel Ideho82'
88'Goal · Sven Mijnans (assist : Lutsharel Geertruida)
90'Substitution · Sven Mijnans ⇄ Ayoni Santos

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

PSV Eindhoven or draw96%held
- PSV Eindhoven took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for PSV Eindhoven against 6.
At least 1 goal before half-time85%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 15′ Sparta Rotterdam, 23′ PSV Eindhoven, 39′ PSV Eindhoven.
One team ahead at half-time78%held
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time67%held
PSV Eindhoven to win87%held
2 or more goals before half-time56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePSV Eindhoven 3rd, Sparta Rotterdam 12th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Sparta Rotterdam (0-1)
During the match23′ equaliser, PSV Eindhoven (1-1)
During the match39′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match74′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (3-1)
During the match88′ turnaround, PSV Eindhoven go ahead (4-1)

What it changes

In this league, “PSV Eindhoven or draw” goes from 82.1% to 82.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eredivisie

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes