Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eredivisie · Netherlands

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 13:30.

Change noted on 03/09.

Cambuur

3–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

Nijmegen

What Janus-12 said

81%

Draw or Nijmegen

82% success over 34 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 19 %

A prediction at 81 % fails 19 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Nijmegen

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 16:33.

Sealed on 12/09, 20:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 34 matches in this league
77%✓
79% success over 29 matches in this league
81%✗
65% success over 34 matches in this league
64%✓
56% success over 34 matches in this league
58%✗
39% success over 31 matches in this league
58%✓

Eredivisie

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Nijmegen81%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Cambuur scored in the 90th minute.
- Nijmegen chased the score almost all match: Cambuur scored as early as the 21st minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 21′ Cambuur.
Draw or Nijmegen ahead at half-time81%lost
One team ahead at half-time64%held
Nijmegen to win58%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCambuur 14th, Nijmegen 11th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Cambuur (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Cambuur go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Cambuur
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Iwan Henstra (Cambuur)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Nijmegen” goes from 82.4% to 80% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cambuur on the left, Nijmegen on the right.

First half

21'Goal · Ilyes Hamache (assist : Billy van Duijl)
32'Yellow card · Devid Eugene Bouah
Yellow card · Tobias Storm35'
Yellow card · Philippe Sandler37'
Substitution · Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz Ortega ⇄ Nikolas Polster45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

54'Goal · Ilyes Hamache
Substitution · Adam Tahaui ⇄ Emre Mor58'
Substitution · Dennis Geiger ⇄ Jamiro Monteiro58'
Substitution · Philippe Sandler ⇄ Bryan Linssen58'
64'Substitution · Mathieu Maertens ⇄ Jamal Amofa
71'Substitution · Nicolas Binder ⇄ Sami Bouhoudane
72'Substitution · Fabian Kvam ⇄ Iwan Henstra
Substitution · Emre Mor ⇄ Kevin Kers73'
84'Substitution · Ilyes Hamache ⇄ Skye Vink
84'Substitution · Devid Eugene Bouah ⇄ Wiebe Kooistra
Yellow card · Noe Lebreton87'
90+2'Goal · Iwan Henstra (assist : Jamal Amofa)
Yellow card · Almugera Kabar90+5'
90+5'Yellow card · Iwan Henstra

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Nijmegen81%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Cambuur scored in the 90th minute.
- Nijmegen chased the score almost all match: Cambuur scored as early as the 21st minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 21′ Cambuur.
Draw or Nijmegen ahead at half-time81%lost
One team ahead at half-time64%held
Nijmegen to win58%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCambuur 14th, Nijmegen 11th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Cambuur (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Cambuur go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Cambuur
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Iwan Henstra (Cambuur)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Nijmegen” goes from 82.4% to 80% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eredivisie

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes