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Janus-12

Eredivisie · Netherlands

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

AZ Alkmaar

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Willem II

What Janus-12 said

92%

AZ Alkmaar or draw

84% success over 31 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 04:47.

Sealed on 11/09, 19:00announced on 28/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 31 matches in this league
82%✓
65% success over 31 matches in this league
71%✓
58% success over 31 matches in this league
82%✗
50% success over 4 matches in this league
56%✓
50% success over 2 matches in this league
51%✗

Eredivisie

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AZ Alkmaar or draw92%held
- AZ Alkmaar were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for AZ Alkmaar against 2.
At least 1 goal before half-time82%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 32′ AZ Alkmaar.
One team ahead at half-time71%held
AZ Alkmaar to win82%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AZ Alkmaar had 22 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 1.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Willem II scored in the 81st minute.
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time56%held
2 or more goals before half-time51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAZ Alkmaar 1st, Willem II 18th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, AZ Alkmaar (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match81′ equaliser, Willem II (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “AZ Alkmaar or draw” goes from 83.9% to 84.4% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

AZ Alkmaar on the left, Willem II on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Tonny Vilhena29'
32'Goal · Jordy Clasie (assist : Mexx Meerdink)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

64'Substitution · Calvin Stengs ⇄ Weslley Pinto Batista
64'Substitution · Jordy Clasie ⇄ Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
Substitution · Tonny Vilhena ⇄ kasper boogaard70'
Substitution · Per van Loon ⇄ Alessandro Ciranni70'
78'Substitution · Mexx Meerdink ⇄ Jizz Hornkamp
Goal · Devin Haen (assist : Uriël van Aalst)81'
87'Substitution · Dave Kwakman ⇄ Bendegúz Kovács
87'Substitution · Ro Zangelo Daal ⇄ Ayoub Oufkir
Substitution · Jaden Slory ⇄ Thomas Verheydt88'
Substitution · Maxim Dekker ⇄ Mats Lemmens90+3'

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AZ Alkmaar or draw92%held
- AZ Alkmaar were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for AZ Alkmaar against 2.
At least 1 goal before half-time82%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 32′ AZ Alkmaar.
One team ahead at half-time71%held
AZ Alkmaar to win82%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AZ Alkmaar had 22 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 1.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Willem II scored in the 81st minute.
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time56%held
2 or more goals before half-time51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAZ Alkmaar 1st, Willem II 18th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, AZ Alkmaar (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match81′ equaliser, Willem II (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “AZ Alkmaar or draw” goes from 83.9% to 84.4% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eredivisie

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes