Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eredivisie · Netherlands

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Telstar

2-2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 2–2

Cambuur

What Janus-12 said

77%

At least 1 goal before half-time

84% success over 25 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: At least 1 goal before half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 17:32.

Sealed on 06/09, 13:30announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

82% success over 34 matches in this league
80%✓
77% success over 22 matches in this league
59%✓
68% success over 25 matches in this league
56%✗
62% success over 34 matches in this league
55%✗
30% success over 23 matches in this league
59%✓

Eredivisie

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time77%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Telstar or draw80%held
- Telstar held on with ten men for 68 minutes (sent off in the 22nd minute), and the prediction held with them.
Draw or Cambuur ahead at half-time59%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Telstar to win55%lost
- Telstar finished with ten men: sent off in the 22nd minute, 68 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Telstar had 11 shots against 8, for 2 goals against 2.
At most 1 goal before half-time59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTelstar 13th, Cambuur 14th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match22′ sending-off, Telstar (Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match53′ opening goal, Cambuur (0-1)
During the match60′ Cambuur go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ Telstar come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 84% to 80.8% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Telstar on the left, Cambuur on the right.

First half

22'Red card · Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
28'Yellow card · Rui Mendes
Yellow card · Ismaël Baouf28'
Substitution · Ismaël Baouf ⇄ sami bouhoudane42'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

Goal · Rafik El Arguioui (assist : Nicolas Binder)53'
60'Substitution · Rui Mendes ⇄ Jelani Seedorf
Goal · Nicolas Binder (assist : Ilyes Hamache)60'
63'Penalty goal · Ronald Koeman Jr
66'Substitution · Nils Rossen ⇄ Harrie Kuster
66'Substitution · Jeff Hardeveld ⇄ Prince Aning
Substitution · Nicolas Binder ⇄ Mathieu Maertens68'
Substitution · Fabian Kvam ⇄ Jason Ceka68'
Substitution · Morgan Costarelli ⇄ Rik Mulders72'
Substitution · Devid Eugene Bouah ⇄ Lucas Jetten72'
Yellow card · Rik Mulders78'
85'Yellow card · Abdelnour Soualhia
87'Substitution · Tyrone Owusu ⇄ Noach Shenkman
87'Substitution · Gerald Alders ⇄ Rojendro Oudsten
90'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Marvin Peersman
Yellow card · sami bouhoudane90'
Yellow card · Rafik El Arguioui90+7'
90+10'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Abdelnour Soualhia
90+11'Penalty goal · Ronald Koeman Jr
90+12'Yellow card · Ronald Koeman Jr

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time77%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Telstar or draw80%held
- Telstar held on with ten men for 68 minutes (sent off in the 22nd minute), and the prediction held with them.
Draw or Cambuur ahead at half-time59%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Telstar to win55%lost
- Telstar finished with ten men: sent off in the 22nd minute, 68 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Telstar had 11 shots against 8, for 2 goals against 2.
At most 1 goal before half-time59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTelstar 13th, Cambuur 14th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match22′ sending-off, Telstar (Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match53′ opening goal, Cambuur (0-1)
During the match60′ Cambuur go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ Telstar come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 84% to 80.8% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eredivisie

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes