Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eredivisie · Netherlands

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Willem II

0–3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 0–1

Excelsior

What Janus-12 said

76%

At least 1 goal before half-time

82% success over 22 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: At least 1 goal before half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 20:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 31 matches in this league
74%✓
74% success over 19 matches in this league
72%✓
68% success over 22 matches in this league
61%✓
35% success over 20 matches in this league
60%✗

Eredivisie

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time76%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 8′ Excelsior, 34′ Excelsior.
Willem II or Excelsior74%held
Draw or Excelsior ahead at half-time72%held
One team ahead at half-time61%held
At most 1 goal before half-time60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWillem II 18th, Excelsior 7th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Excelsior (0-1)
During the match34′ Excelsior go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match85′ last goal, Excelsior

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 81.8% to 82.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Willem II on the left, Excelsior on the right.

First half

Goal · David Garden (assist : Irakli Yegoian)8'
Goal · Rick Meissen (assist : Simon Janssen)34'
45'Substitution · Eser Gürbüz ⇄ Tonny Vilhena
45'Substitution · Mats Lemmens ⇄ Maxim Dekker

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

51'Yellow card · kasper boogaard
63'Substitution · kasper boogaard ⇄ Thomas Verheydt
Substitution · Aymen sliti ⇄ Ilano Silva Timas64'
Substitution · Eric da Silva Moreira ⇄ Daniel van Vianen65'
Substitution · Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson ⇄ Nesto groen71'
81'Yellow card · Jaden Slory
Substitution · David Garden ⇄ Giulliano Cairo82'
82'Substitution · Jaden Slory ⇄ Chido Obi
Goal · Irakli Yegoian (assist : Stijn van Gassel)85'
Yellow card · Nesto groen87'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At least 1 goal before half-time76%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 8′ Excelsior, 34′ Excelsior.
Willem II or Excelsior74%held
Draw or Excelsior ahead at half-time72%held
One team ahead at half-time61%held
At most 1 goal before half-time60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWillem II 18th, Excelsior 7th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Excelsior (0-1)
During the match34′ Excelsior go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match85′ last goal, Excelsior

What it changes

In this league, “At least 1 goal before half-time” goes from 81.8% to 82.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eredivisie

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes