Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eredivisie · Netherlands

full time

Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Ajax

5–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 3–1

Willem II

What Janus-12 said

91%

Ajax or draw

83% success over 40 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Ajax or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 15/09, 04:05.

Sealed on 15/09, 19:00announced on 01/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 40 matches in this league
81%✓
68% success over 40 matches in this league
70%✓
67% success over 6 matches in this league
58%✓
55% success over 40 matches in this league
74%✓
50% success over 4 matches in this league
51%✓

Eredivisie

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Ajax or draw91%held
- Ajax took the lead in the 41st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Ajax against 4.
At least 1 goal before half-time81%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 41′ Ajax, 45′ Ajax.
One team ahead at half-time70%held
Ajax ahead at half-time58%held
Ajax to win74%held
2 or more goals before half-time51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAjax 5th, Willem II 18th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Ajax (1-0)
During the match45′ Ajax go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match87′ last goal, Ajax

What it changes

In this league, “Ajax or draw” goes from 82.5% to 82.9% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,604 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ajax on the left, Willem II on the right.

First half

41'Goal · Davy Klaassen (assist : Kasper Dolberg)
45'Goal · Julian Brandt (assist : Lucas Oliveira·Rosa)
Substitution · Per van Loon ⇄ Alessandro Ciranni45'
Substitution · Tonny Vilhena ⇄ Mats Lemmens45'

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

57'Substitution · Steven Berghuis ⇄ Viktor Tsygankov
57'Substitution · Davy Klaassen ⇄ Sofyan Amrabat
Substitution · Hidde ter Avest ⇄ A. Et-Taibi61'
67'Substitution · Owen Wijndal ⇄ Caio Henrique
67'Substitution · Julian Brandt ⇄ Abdellah Ouazane
69'Goal · Viktor Tsygankov (assist : Oscar Gloukh)
Substitution · Jaden Slory ⇄ Chido Obi70'
74'Goal · Oscar Gloukh (assist : Kasper Dolberg)
Goal · Alessandro Ciranni (assist : Uriël van Aalst)76'
77'Substitution · Thilo Kehrer ⇄ Dies Janse
Substitution · Maxim Dekker ⇄ Eser Gürbüz84'
87'Goal · Kasper Dolberg

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Ajax or draw91%held
- Ajax took the lead in the 41st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Ajax against 4.
At least 1 goal before half-time81%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 41′ Ajax, 45′ Ajax.
One team ahead at half-time70%held
Ajax ahead at half-time58%held
Ajax to win74%held
2 or more goals before half-time51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAjax 5th, Willem II 18th (Eredivisie)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Ajax (1-0)
During the match45′ Ajax go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match87′ last goal, Ajax

What it changes

In this league, “Ajax or draw” goes from 82.5% to 82.9% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,604 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eredivisie

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes