Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Netherlands

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

FC Eindhoven

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Graafschap

What Janus-12 said

75%

FC Eindhoven or Graafschap

81% success over 69 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: FC Eindhoven or Graafschap

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 19:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 45 matches in this league
80%✗
75% success over 48 matches in this league
70%✗
69% success over 29 matches in this league
53%✗

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	FC Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0

What we announced

0/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Eindhoven or Graafschap75%lost
- The two teams managed only 16 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Under 4.5 yellow cards80%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 23 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners70%lost
- 16 corners in total, with 41% possession for FC Eindhoven.
Under 3.5 yellow cards53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Eindhoven 5th, Graafschap 1st (Eerste Divisie: Period 4)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, FC Eindhoven (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ equaliser, Graafschap (1-1)
During the match70′ turnaround, Graafschap go ahead (1-2)
Line-up70′ the goal came off the bench: Kyano Kwint (Graafschap)
During the match72′ equaliser, FC Eindhoven (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Eindhoven or Graafschap” goes from 81.2% to 80% success rate, over 70 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Eindhoven on the left, Graafschap on the right.

First half

22'Goal · Rayan·Buifrahi (assist : Raf van de Riet)
Yellow card · Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff24'
Substitution · Bjorn van Zijl ⇄ gabriele finocchiaro45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · gabriele finocchiaro (assist : Mark Diemers)53'
60'Substitution · Luc Netten ⇄ Clint Essers
Substitution · Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff ⇄ Thomas Kok60'
60'Substitution · Hugo Deenen ⇄ Amir Bryson
Substitution · Julian kania ⇄ Kyano Kwint68'
Substitution · Mark Diemers ⇄ Jorn Triep68'
Goal · Kyano Kwint (assist : Fedde De Jong)70'
70'Substitution · Xander Blomme ⇄ Niek Munsters
72'Goal · Siegert Baartmans (assist : Guus Beaumont)
77'Yellow card · Raf van de Riet
Yellow card · Nolan Martens77'
77'Yellow card · Rayan·Buifrahi
Substitution · Donny Warmerdam ⇄ Joran Hardeman85'
89'Substitution · Kevin van Veen ⇄ antonio bazdaric
Yellow card · gijs bolk89'

What we announced

0/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Eindhoven or Graafschap75%lost
- The two teams managed only 16 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Under 4.5 yellow cards80%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 23 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners70%lost
- 16 corners in total, with 41% possession for FC Eindhoven.
Under 3.5 yellow cards53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Eindhoven 5th, Graafschap 1st (Eerste Divisie: Period 4)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, FC Eindhoven (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ equaliser, Graafschap (1-1)
During the match70′ turnaround, Graafschap go ahead (1-2)
Line-up70′ the goal came off the bench: Kyano Kwint (Graafschap)
During the match72′ equaliser, FC Eindhoven (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Eindhoven or Graafschap” goes from 81.2% to 80% success rate, over 70 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes