Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Netherlands

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Vitesse

2–2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–0

NAC Breda

What Janus-12 said

76%

Vitesse or NAC Breda

82% success over 67 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Vitesse or NAC Breda

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 15:30announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 43 matches in this league
73%✗
74% success over 46 matches in this league
65%✓
40% success over 15 matches in this league
55%✓

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Almere City	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	+9	18
4	FC Emmen	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	+7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Volendam	9	4	0	5	+3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	-11	8
19	Graafschap	9	2	2	5	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	-6	7

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Vitesse or NAC Breda76%lost
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Under 4.5 yellow cards73%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 27 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners65%held
- 10 corners in total, with 41% possession for Vitesse.
Over 3.5 yellow cards55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVitesse 8th, NAC Breda 9th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Vitesse (1-0)
During the match24′ equaliser, NAC Breda (1-1)
During the match32′ turnaround, NAC Breda go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match87′ equaliser, Vitesse (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Vitesse or NAC Breda” goes from 82.1% to 80.9% success rate, over 68 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Vitesse on the left, NAC Breda on the right.

First half

14'Goal · Naoufal Bannis (assist : Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira)
Goal · Charles-Andreas Brym (assist : Kamal Sowah)24'
Goal · Kamal Sowah32'
45'Substitution · Nathangelo Markelo ⇄ Solomon Bonnah
45'Substitution · Jeredy Hilterman ⇄ Pontus Dahbo
45'Substitution · Mathijs Marschalk ⇄ Youssef Ouallil

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

Yellow card · Charles-Andreas Brym49'
51'Yellow card · M. Steffen
Substitution · Kamal Sowah ⇄ Fredrik Jensen67'
71'Substitution · Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira ⇄ Joâo Pinto
Substitution · Charles-Andreas Brym ⇄ Gabriel Osei Misehouy72'
79'Yellow card · Aymen·Sellouf
80'Yellow card · Youssef Ouallil
Substitution · Moussa Soumano ⇄ Mohamed Bouchouari81'
Substitution · Jan Van den Bergh ⇄ Mylan Brouwers81'
83'Substitution · Xiamaro thenu ⇄ Alexander Büttner
87'Goal · Naoufal Bannis
90'Yellow card · Alexander Büttner
90+4'Substitution · M. Steffen ⇄ omar achouitar

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Vitesse or NAC Breda76%lost
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Under 4.5 yellow cards73%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 27 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners65%held
- 10 corners in total, with 41% possession for Vitesse.
Over 3.5 yellow cards55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVitesse 8th, NAC Breda 9th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Vitesse (1-0)
During the match24′ equaliser, NAC Breda (1-1)
During the match32′ turnaround, NAC Breda go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match87′ equaliser, Vitesse (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Vitesse or NAC Breda” goes from 82.1% to 80.9% success rate, over 68 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes