Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Netherlands

full time

Friday, 25 September 2026

Dordrecht

3–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–1

Almere City

What Janus-12 said

65%

Under 11.5 corners

81% success over 37 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

1xBet
Betsson

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 25/09, 23:30.

Sealed on 25/09, 20:00announced on 12/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 58 matches in this league
79%✗
79% success over 34 matches in this league
71%✓
53% success over 58 matches in this league
55%✗
50% success over 10 matches in this league
52%✗

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	FC Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners65%held
- 8 corners in total, with 41% possession for Dordrecht.
Draw or Almere City79%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Dordrecht scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Almere City had 19 shots against 11, for 2 goals against 3.
Under 4.5 yellow cards71%held
- 2 yellow cards for 27 fouls given.
Almere City to win55%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards52%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDordrecht 4th, Almere City 9th (Eerste Divisie: Period 4)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Almere City (0-1)
During the match22′ equaliser, Dordrecht (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match58′ turnaround, Dordrecht go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ equaliser, Almere City (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Dordrecht go ahead (3-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Ouarghi (Dordrecht)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 81.1% to 81.6% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Dordrecht on the left, Almere City on the right.

First half

Goal · Olivier de Nijs10'
22'Goal · Beni Christophe Mpanzu
Substitution · Milan de Haan ⇄ Job Kalisvaart45'
Substitution · Byron Burgering ⇄ Emanuel Poku45'
Substitution · Olivier de Nijs ⇄ Jamie Jacobs45'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

58'Goal · Stan Henderikx (assist : Lucas Ayrton Román)
59'Substitution · Dario Sits ⇄ Lucas Gardenier
60'Substitution · Lucas Ayrton Román ⇄ A. Ouarghi
65'Yellow card · Beni Christophe Mpanzu
71'Substitution · Martin Vetkal ⇄ J. de Bie
77'Yellow card · Stan Henderikx
Substitution · Teun Bijleveld ⇄ Immanuel Ghogli80'
Substitution · Enzo Cornelisse ⇄ L. Lenssen80'
85'Substitution · Lorenzo Riccio ⇄ Yannis M'Bemba
85'Substitution · nicolas rossi ⇄ Adil Lechkar
Goal · Joey Jacobs (assist : Emanuel Poku)90'
90+1'Goal · A. Ouarghi (assist : Yannis M'Bemba)

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners65%held
- 8 corners in total, with 41% possession for Dordrecht.
Draw or Almere City79%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Dordrecht scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Almere City had 19 shots against 11, for 2 goals against 3.
Under 4.5 yellow cards71%held
- 2 yellow cards for 27 fouls given.
Almere City to win55%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards52%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDordrecht 4th, Almere City 9th (Eerste Divisie: Period 4)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Almere City (0-1)
During the match22′ equaliser, Dordrecht (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match58′ turnaround, Dordrecht go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ equaliser, Almere City (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Dordrecht go ahead (3-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Ouarghi (Dordrecht)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 81.1% to 81.6% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes