Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Netherlands

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Waalwijk

6-1full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 3–1

MVV

What Janus-12 said

78%

Waalwijk or draw

79% success over 48 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Waalwijk or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:31.

Sealed on 18/09, 19:00announced on 04/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 27 matches in this league
71%✓
50% success over 48 matches in this league
55%✓

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Almere City	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	+9	18
4	FC Emmen	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	+7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Volendam	9	4	0	5	+3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	-11	8
19	Graafschap	9	2	2	5	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	-6	7

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Waalwijk or draw78%held
- Waalwijk took the lead in the 13th minute and never let it go.
- Waalwijk took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.
Under 11.5 corners71%held
- 9 corners in total, with 42% possession for Waalwijk.
Waalwijk to win55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWaalwijk 7th, MVV 5th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Waalwijk (1-0)
During the match29′ Waalwijk go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match90′ last goal, Waalwijk

What it changes

In this league, “Waalwijk or draw” goes from 79.2% to 79.6% success rate, over 49 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Waalwijk on the left, MVV on the right.

First half

13'Goal · Jordy de Wijs (assist : Jochem Nap)
29'Goal · F. Al Mazyani (assist : Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela)
40'Goal · Juan Familia-Castillo
42'Yellow card · Ryan Fage
Substitution · Naim Matoug ⇄ Onesime Zimuangana45'
Substitution · Robert Klaasen ⇄ Mika Luijendijk45'

Half-time3 - 0

Second half

49'Goal · Liam Van Gelderen (assist : Jochem Nap)
63'Substitution · Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela ⇄ Virgil Misidjan
63'Substitution · Finn Stokkers ⇄ Jesse van de Haar
73'Goal · Jesse van de Haar (assist : Juan Familia-Castillo)
74'Substitution · Jordy de Wijs ⇄ Sven van der Plas
75'Substitution · Ryan Fage ⇄ Yoram van der Veen
Substitution · Noa El Hamdaoui ⇄ Toni Vinogradac77'
81'Substitution · Jochem Nap ⇄ Tim van de Loo
Goal · Olivier·Dumont (assist : Onesime Zimuangana)89'
Yellow card · Hugo Wentges90+1'
90+2'Penalty goal · Jesse van de Haar

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Waalwijk or draw78%held
- Waalwijk took the lead in the 13th minute and never let it go.
- Waalwijk took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.
Under 11.5 corners71%held
- 9 corners in total, with 42% possession for Waalwijk.
Waalwijk to win55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWaalwijk 7th, MVV 5th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Waalwijk (1-0)
During the match29′ Waalwijk go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match90′ last goal, Waalwijk

What it changes

In this league, “Waalwijk or draw” goes from 79.2% to 79.6% success rate, over 49 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes