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Janus-12

Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Netherlands

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

NAC Breda

2-3full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–2

Jong Utrecht

What Janus-12 said

87%

NAC Breda or draw

78% success over 36 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 13 %

A prediction at 87 % fails 13 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: NAC Breda or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 07:30.

Sealed on 11/09, 19:00announced on 28/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 15 matches in this league
61%✓
47% success over 36 matches in this league
70%✗

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Almere City	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	+9	18
4	FC Emmen	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	+7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Volendam	9	4	0	5	+3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	-11	8
19	Graafschap	9	2	2	5	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	-6	7

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

NAC Breda or draw87%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: NAC Breda had 26 shots against 11, for 2 goals against 3.
- NAC Breda chased the score almost all match: Jong Utrecht scored as early as the 19th minute.
Under 11.5 corners61%held
- 10 corners in total, with 64% possession for NAC Breda.
NAC Breda to win70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNAC Breda 9th, Jong Utrecht 20th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Jong Utrecht (0-1)
During the match29′ equaliser, NAC Breda (1-1)
During the match44′ turnaround, NAC Breda go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match48′ equaliser, Jong Utrecht (2-2)
During the match65′ turnaround, Jong Utrecht go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “NAC Breda or draw” goes from 77.8% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

NAC Breda on the left, Jong Utrecht on the right.

First half

18'Yellow card · Imran Nazih
Goal · Noa Malik Dundas (assist : Yousri Sbai)19'
27'Substitution · Imran Nazih ⇄ Paul Gladon
29'Goal · Paul Gladon (assist : Boyd Lucassen)
Substitution · Ferdinand Pohl ⇄ Bjorn Menzo36'
44'Goal · Paul Gladon (assist : Moussa Soumano)
45'Substitution · Mylan Brouwers ⇄ Mohamed Bouchouari

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

Goal · Noa Malik Dundas (assist : Bjorn Menzo)48'
Yellow card · Viggo Plantinga54'
Substitution · tijn boggende den ⇄ Richie Omorowa57'
Yellow card · Noa Malik Dundas59'
Goal · Emmanuel Chigozie Owen (assist : Driss Laaouina)65'
Yellow card · Massien Ghaddari66'
67'Substitution · Fredrik Jensen ⇄ Pepijn Reulen
75'Substitution · Boyd Lucassen ⇄ Elijah Ikpia
Substitution · Emmanuel Chigozie Owen ⇄ Kenji Goes80'
Substitution · Noa Malik Dundas ⇄ Levi Rietveld80'
Yellow card · Kenji Goes84'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

NAC Breda or draw87%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: NAC Breda had 26 shots against 11, for 2 goals against 3.
- NAC Breda chased the score almost all match: Jong Utrecht scored as early as the 19th minute.
Under 11.5 corners61%held
- 10 corners in total, with 64% possession for NAC Breda.
NAC Breda to win70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNAC Breda 9th, Jong Utrecht 20th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Jong Utrecht (0-1)
During the match29′ equaliser, NAC Breda (1-1)
During the match44′ turnaround, NAC Breda go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match48′ equaliser, Jong Utrecht (2-2)
During the match65′ turnaround, Jong Utrecht go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “NAC Breda or draw” goes from 77.8% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes