Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Netherlands

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

FC Emmen

1-2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–1

Graafschap

What Janus-12 said

79%

FC Emmen or Graafschap

78% success over 36 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where this market is covered· 8 bookmakers

Market covered: FC Emmen or Graafschap

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 11/09, 15:12.

Sealed on 11/09, 19:00announced on 28/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

73% success over 15 matches in this league
66%✗
47% success over 36 matches in this league
53%✗

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Almere City	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	+9	18
4	FC Emmen	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	+7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Volendam	9	4	0	5	+3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	-11	8
19	Graafschap	9	2	2	5	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	-6	7

What we announced

1/3

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Emmen or Graafschap79%held
Under 11.5 corners66%lost
- 17 corners in total, with 64% possession for FC Emmen.
FC Emmen to win53%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FC Emmen had 27 shots against 11, for 1 goal against 2.
- FC Emmen chased the score almost all match: Graafschap scored as early as the 7th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Emmen 4th, Graafschap 19th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Graafschap (0-1)
During the match29′ equaliser, FC Emmen (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match63′ Graafschap retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, FC Emmen (Luca Everink)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Emmen or Graafschap” goes from 77.8% to 78.4% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Emmen on the left, Graafschap on the right.

First half

Goal · Julian kania (assist : Nolan Martens)7'
Substitution · Jason Meerstadt ⇄ gijs bolk18'
29'Goal · Jack Cooper Love (assist : Bryan Van Hove)

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

57'Substitution · Alessandro Hojabrpour ⇄ Torben Rhein
57'Substitution · Sybrand Veldhuis ⇄ Mustafa Abdullatif
Substitution · Bjorn van Zijl ⇄ Jorn Triep61'
Substitution · Julian kania ⇄ Kyano Kwint61'
Goal · Donny Warmerdam (assist : Fedde De Jong)63'
70'Substitution · Freddy Quispel ⇄ Stan van Manen
Yellow card · Rowan Besselink75'
79'Substitution · Casper Staring ⇄ Luca Denk
79'Substitution · Y. Dedelhomme ⇄ Safyan Toure
Substitution · Nolan Martens ⇄ Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff82'
Substitution · Toivo Mero ⇄ Nart Ahmeti-Grainca82'
Yellow card · Thomas Kok88'
90+2'Yellow card · Joshua Mukeh
90+4'Yellow card · Luca Everink
Yellow card · Donny Warmerdam90+4'
90+6'Red card · Luca Everink
90+7'Yellow card · Michael Breij
Yellow card · Fedde De Jong90+7'

What we announced

1/3

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Emmen or Graafschap79%held
Under 11.5 corners66%lost
- 17 corners in total, with 64% possession for FC Emmen.
FC Emmen to win53%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FC Emmen had 27 shots against 11, for 1 goal against 2.
- FC Emmen chased the score almost all match: Graafschap scored as early as the 7th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Emmen 4th, Graafschap 19th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Graafschap (0-1)
During the match29′ equaliser, FC Emmen (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match63′ Graafschap retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, FC Emmen (Luca Everink)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Emmen or Graafschap” goes from 77.8% to 78.4% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes