Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Netherlands

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Jong Ajax

3-2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–1

Helmond Sport

What Janus-12 said

75%

Under 11.5 corners

100% success over 4 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A forecast at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

Where this market is covered· 5 bookmakers

Market covered: Under 11.5 corners

1xBet
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa

We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 29/08, 00:31.

Sealed on 28/08, 19:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

86% success over 14 matches in this league
74%✓

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Almere City	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	+9	18
4	FC Emmen	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	+7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Volendam	9	4	0	5	+3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	-11	8
19	Graafschap	9	2	2	5	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	-6	7

What we announced

1/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners75%lost
- 16 corners in total, with 58% possession for Jong Ajax.
Jong Ajax or Helmond Sport74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableJong Ajax 17th, Helmond Sport 14th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Jong Ajax (1-0)
During the match14′ Jong Ajax go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match56′ Helmond Sport come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match64′ Jong Ajax retake the lead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 100% to 80% success rate, over 5 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Jong Ajax on the left, Helmond Sport on the right.

First half

12'Goal · P. Nash (assist : D. Pugno)
14'Goal · E. Unuvar (assist : D. Pugno)
Goal · B. Koglin (assist : W. Lantaki)18'
Yellow card · W. Lantaki42'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

Goal · S. Dekkers56'
Substitution · K. Ekoli ⇄ J. van der Sluijs62'
64'Goal · D. Pugno (assist : J. Monserrate)
Substitution · M. Lenaerts ⇄ L. Bajrami74'
Substitution · W. Lantaki ⇄ T. Poll74'
Substitution · H. Ingason ⇄ T. Essakkati74'
74'Substitution · T. Peters ⇄ L. Acheampong
77'Yellow card · J. Monserrate
79'Substitution · R. van de Pavert ⇄ L. Frankel
Substitution · M. Ludwig ⇄ P. Llonch80'
83'Substitution · J. Monserrate ⇄ A. Camara
83'Substitution · D. Pugno ⇄ J. Simeon
90+2'Yellow card · L. Acheampong

What we announced

1/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners75%lost
- 16 corners in total, with 58% possession for Jong Ajax.
Jong Ajax or Helmond Sport74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableJong Ajax 17th, Helmond Sport 14th (Eerste Divisie: Period 1)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Jong Ajax (1-0)
During the match14′ Jong Ajax go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match56′ Helmond Sport come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match64′ Jong Ajax retake the lead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 100% to 80% success rate, over 5 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes